Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Sat 15 May, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa win · Most likely 45.7%
Draw 27.3%
Newcastle win 27.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 56%
Aston Villa clean sheet 30%Avg 27%
Newcastle clean sheet 20%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 69%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-08.9%
2-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aston Villa
  • Newcastle

Did you know?

  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Newcastle beat Aston Villa 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Newcastle have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

15meetings
  • Aston Villa win · 7 (47%)
  • Draw · 3 (20%)
  • Newcastle win · 5 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.60 League avg: 2.84
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.57 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.21 League avg: 3.91
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.42
Newcastle avg. goals 1.27 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa (12 Aug 23).

Aston Villa vs Newcastle head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Aston Villa have won 7 times, Newcastle have won 5 times and 3 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 20 goals and Newcastle scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Aston Villa, away at Newcastle. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 15 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 7 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Newcastle
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 10 (1.4 avg)
83 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 85 (12.1 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Shots on Target 25 (3.6 avg)
26 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (3.6 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Corners 32 (4.6 avg)
616 (88.0 avg) Attacks 596 (85.1 avg)
264 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (45.1 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 67 (9.6 avg)
2858 (408.3 avg) Passes 2991 (427.3 avg)
2371 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2503 (84%)
47% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Newcastle
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (2.7 avg)
121 (17.3 avg) Tackles 96 (13.7 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 85 (12.1 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 19 (2.7 avg)
327 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 335 (47.9 avg)
70 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)