Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

12 September 2026 · Premier League · 2026/27 · Referee Andy Madley

Full time 1 – 2

Half-time: 0–0

  • Alysson Edward 74’
  • Liam Delap 46’
  • Igor Jesus 88’

Match summary

Nott'm Forest won 2-1 away at Aston Villa, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.

Liam Delap put Nott'm Forest ahead in the 46th minute, set up by Murillo, Alysson Edward equalised with a header in the 74th minute, set up by John McGinn, and Igor Jesus won it in the 88th minute, set up by Morgan Gibbs-White.

The chances backed that up: Nott'm Forest created 2.80 expected goals (xG) from 22 shots to Aston Villa's 1.09 from 7.

Aston Villa hosted Nott'm Forest in a Premier League fixture that saw the visitors secure a two-one victory despite the hosts holding fifty-three per cent possession and registering four hundred and twelve passes compared to three hundred and fifty-eight. Nott'm Forest dominated the attacking metrics, recording twenty-two shots against their opponents' seven, with seven shots on target to five. The away side accumulated an expected goals tally of 2.80 against Aston Villa's 1.09. Discipline was a notable feature of the match, with the referee issuing a total of seven yellow cards, five of which went to Nott'm Forest players alongside sixteen team fouls, while Aston Villa committed eleven fouls.

The first half ended goalless after Aston Villa were forced into an early substitution when Tyrone Mings was replaced by Pau Torres due to injury in the twenty-five minute, preceding yellow cards for Dan Ndoye, Nicolas Jackson, and Murillo. The deadlock was broken immediately in the forty-sixth minute when Liam Delap scored with a right-footed shot for Nott'm Forest. Alysson equalised for Aston Villa with a header in the seventy-four minute. Nott'm Forest claimed the win when Igor Jesus scored a right-footed shot in the eighty-eighth minute, sealing the final score at one-two after late yellow cards and substitutions.

Match stats

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 7
6 Corners 1
108 Attacks 69
40 Dangerous attacks 37
412 Passes 358
83% Pass accuracy 86%
17 Tackles 23
11 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
0 Offsides 4

Key events

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest
Kick-off
Victor LindelöfShot on target
7’
Ian MaatsenShot on target
8’
12’
James McAteeShot on target
23’
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteShot on target
25’
Ross BarkleyShot on target
32’
35’
Dan NdoyeShot on target
43’
Dan NdoyeFoul
Nicolas JacksonArgument
45’
45+3’
MurilloFoul
Half-time0-0
46’
Liam DelapRight foot shot0-1 (Nott'm Forest)
Second half underway
56’
Ibrahim MbayeShot on target
73’
AlyssonHeader1-1 (Aston Villa)
74’
75’
Liam DelapArgument
80’
85’
Daniel MuñozShot on target
86’
Xaver SchlagerShot on target
88’
Igor JesusRight foot shot1-2 (Nott'm Forest)
90+5’
Full-time1-2

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.09 2.80 46’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), 0-1 46’ 74’ Alysson Edward (Aston Villa), 1-1 74’ 88’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), 1-2 88’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.09 2.80 46’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), 0-1 Delap 46’ 74’ Alysson Edward (Aston Villa), 1-1 Edward 74’ 88’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), 1-2 Jesus 88’
Aston Villa 1.09 xGNott'm Forest 2.80 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Nott'm Forest attacking Aston Villa attacking 
58’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.63 xG, off target 7’ Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa), open play, 0.60 xG, saved 59’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.54 xG, off target 88’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.53 xG, goal 74’ Alysson Edward (Aston Villa), from a corner, 0.25 xG, goal 85’ Daniel Muñoz (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.19 xG, saved 61’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.14 xG, blocked 69’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.12 xG, blocked 7’ Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa), open play, 0.10 xG, blocked 35’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 47’ Neco Williams (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, off target 23’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, saved 86’ Neco Williams (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 55’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 90+6’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), direct free kick, 0.05 xG, off target 90+7’ Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 8’ Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 16’ Ousmane Diomande (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 86’ Xaver Schlager (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 79’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 80’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 61’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 73’ Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa), set piece, 0.02 xG, saved 50’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 32’ Ross Barkley (Aston Villa), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 77’ James McAtee (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 12’ James McAtee (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.02 xG, saved 46’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, goal 90’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 58’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.63 xG, off target 7’ Victor Lindelöf (Aston Villa), open play, 0.60 xG, saved 59’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.54 xG, off target 88’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.53 xG, goal 74’ Alysson Edward (Aston Villa), from a corner, 0.25 xG, goal 85’ Daniel Muñoz (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.19 xG, saved 61’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.14 xG, blocked 69’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.12 xG, blocked 7’ Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa), open play, 0.10 xG, blocked 35’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 47’ Neco Williams (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, off target 23’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, saved 55’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 86’ Neco Williams (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 90+6’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), direct free kick, 0.05 xG, off target 90+7’ Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 8’ Ian Maatsen (Aston Villa), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 16’ Ousmane Diomande (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 86’ Xaver Schlager (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 79’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 80’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 61’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 73’ Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa), set piece, 0.02 xG, saved 50’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 32’ Ross Barkley (Aston Villa), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 77’ James McAtee (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 12’ James McAtee (Nott'm Forest), set piece, 0.02 xG, saved 46’ Liam Delap (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, goal 90’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 Starting XI
Suzuki
Wan-Bissaka
Lindelöf
Torres 25’
Maatsen 83’
Kamara
Barkley 63’
McGinn
Buendía 63’
Hemmings 46’
Jackson 46’
Nott'm Forest 3-4-2-1 Starting XI
Sels
Murillo
Diomande
Aina
Williams
McAtee 82’
Schlager
Muñoz
Gibbs-White
Ndoye 75’
Delap

Player stats

PlayerPosMinGAShxGxAKPCards
Zion Suzuki GK900 0.000.000
Aaron Wan-Bissaka DEF900 0.000.101
Victor Lindelöf DEF901 0.600.000
Pau Torres DEF240 0.000.000
Ian Maatsen DEF902 0.140.000
Boubacar Kamara MID900 0.000.051
Ross Barkley MID671 0.020.000
John McGinn MID9010 0.000.272
Emiliano Buendía MID670 0.000.000
George Hemmings MID500 0.000.021
Nicolas Jackson FWD500 0.000.000
Tyrone Mings Sub661 0.050.000
Tammy Abraham Sub400 0.000.000
Alysson Edward Sub4011 0.250.000
Johan Manzambi Sub230 0.000.000
Ibrahim Mbaye Sub231 0.020.051

Starters first, then substitutes. xA is expected assists.

Before kick-off

Aston Villa win 43% Avg odds 2.22 Our estimate 42%
Draw 27% Avg odds 3.43 Our estimate 30%
Nott'm Forest win 30% Avg odds 3.19 Our estimate 28%

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. Our estimate is the figure from before kick-off. How our figures work.

Form going into the game

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Timeline, lineups and team statistics from Sportmonks. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.