Newcastle vs Chelsea

Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Newcastle win · Most likely 40.5%
Draw 25.7%
Chelsea win 33.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 66%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 56%
Newcastle clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Chelsea clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.7%
1-06.0%
2-05.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Newcastle
  • Chelsea

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 26 Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle
20 Dec 25 Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea
11 May 25 Newcastle 2–0 Chelsea
27 Oct 24 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle
11 Mar 24 Chelsea 3–2 Newcastle
25 Nov 23 Newcastle 4–1 Chelsea
28 May 23 Chelsea 1–1 Newcastle
12 Nov 22 Newcastle 1–0 Chelsea
13 Mar 22 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle
30 Oct 21 Newcastle 0–3 Chelsea
15 Feb 21 Chelsea 2–0 Newcastle
21 Nov 20 Newcastle 0–2 Chelsea
18 Jan 20 Newcastle 1–0 Chelsea
19 Oct 19 Chelsea 1–0 Newcastle
12 Jan 19 Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle
26 Aug 18 Newcastle 1–2 Chelsea
16meetings
  • Newcastle win · 5 (31%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Chelsea win · 9 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.44 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 44% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.50 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.91
Newcastle avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.42
Chelsea avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 4–1 Chelsea (25 Nov 23).

Newcastle vs Chelsea head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Newcastle have won 5 times, Chelsea have won 9 times and 2 ended in a draw. Newcastle scored 17 goals and Chelsea scored 22 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Mar 2026, was won 1-0 by Newcastle, away at Chelsea. Newcastle are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Newcastle kept 4 clean sheets and Chelsea kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Chelsea
10 (1.4 avg) Goals 17 (2.4 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Total Shots 100 (14.3 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 39 (5.6 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (4.3 avg)
32 (4.6 avg) Corners 41 (5.9 avg)
596 (85.1 avg) Attacks 653 (93.3 avg)
316 (45.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
67 (9.6 avg) Key Passes 76 (10.9 avg)
2991 (427.3 avg) Passes 2985 (426.4 avg)
2503 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2492 (83%)
52% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Chelsea
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.9 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Tackles 108 (15.4 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Fouls 65 (9.3 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
335 (47.9 avg) Duels Won 348 (49.7 avg)
117 (16.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)