Norwich
vs
Cardiff
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Norwich
- Cardiff
Did you know?
- Norwich have outscored their xG by 1.09 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
- Cardiff have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
- Whoever has hosted has won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two.
- Norwich's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
H2H
All 6 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 25 | 4–2 | ||
| 02 Nov 24 | 2–1 | ||
| 17 Feb 24 | 4–1 | ||
| 11 Nov 23 | 2–3 | ||
| 25 Feb 23 | 2–0 | ||
| 30 Jul 22 | 1–0 |
- Norwich win · 4 (67%)
- Draw · 0 (0%)
- Cardiff win · 2 (33%)
Biggest win: Norwich 4–1 Cardiff (17 Feb 24).
Norwich vs Cardiff head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Norwich have won 4 times, Cardiff have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. Norwich scored 14 goals and Cardiff scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 3 May 2025, was won 4-2 by Norwich, at home against Cardiff. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 6 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Norwich kept 1 clean sheet and Cardiff kept 1.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Open play side
- Keeps the ball
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball53% 8th of 24 60% 1st of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.11 xG a shot 14th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces18% of xG 23rd of 24 23% of xG 15th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers16% of shots 17th of 24 17% of shots 13th of 24
Where they differ
- Cardiff get more of their chances from set pieces than Norwich, 23% against 18%.
- Cardiff see much more of the ball than Norwich, 60% against 53%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (67%)
- Over · 3 (33%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
Match Outlook
12th placed Norwich host 14th placed Cardiff. Norwich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), scoring 15 and conceding 4, and have won 4 of their last 10 at home. Cardiff have been mixed lately, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5, and have not won any of their last 10 on the road. Norwich will be missing M. Touré (top scorer, 5 goals) and V. Kovačević (first choice goalkeeper), plus 3 other absentees. Cardiff have a doubt over P. Ng (14 of 15 starts), with 4 more on the absentee list. The main goal threats are M. Kvistgaarden (4 goals) for Norwich and J. Moylan (9 goals) for Cardiff. Norwich are favourites here (Norwich win 48%, draw 25%, Cardiff win 27%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 2-1 the most likely score. How Norwich cope without M. Touré and V. Kovačević could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Norwich Injured M. Touré top scorer, 5 goals
-
Norwich Injured V. Kovačević first choice goalkeeper
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Cardiff Doubt P. Ng 14 of 15 starts
Norwich
Previous 10 Matches
WLLLLLWWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Norwich vs
Bristol City 5–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 H Norwich vs
Portsmouth 0–1 L
-
14 Oct 26 H Norwich vs
Southampton 0–1 L
-
20 Sep 26 H Norwich vs
Bolton Wanderers 3–4 L
-
12 Sep 26 A Norwich vs
Middlesbrough 3–4 L
-
09 Sep 26 H Norwich vs
Birmingham 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
LWDLWWLLLW-
17 Oct 26 H Norwich vs
Portsmouth 0–1 L
-
14 Oct 26 H Norwich vs
Southampton 0–1 L
-
20 Sep 26 H Norwich vs
Bolton Wanderers 3–4 L
-
09 Sep 26 H Norwich vs
Birmingham 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
WLLLWLLWWW-
07 Nov 26 A Norwich vs
Bristol City 5–0 W
-
12 Sep 26 A Norwich vs
Middlesbrough 3–4 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Norwich vs
Sheffield United 3–1 W
-
18 Apr 26 A Norwich vs
Bristol City 4–2 W
Form & stats (Last 10)
12th in the league · 21 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLLLWWWW | 1.50 |
| Home | LWDLWWLLLW | 1.30 |
| Away | WLLLWLLWWW | 1.50 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 32% | 38% | 26% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.82 | 2.89 | 2.75 |
| Scored/game | 1.28 | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| Conceded/game | 1.55 | 1.48 | 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 56% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 19% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 29% | 34% |
| xG/game | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| xG against/game | 1.56 | 1.44 | 1.67 |
| npxG/game | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.09 |
| Deep completions/game | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 15.9 | 15.6 | 16.1 |
| Led at half-time | 28% | 34% | 23% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 8% | 13% | 5% |
Cardiff
Previous 10 Matches
DLWLWDWLDW-
24 Oct 26 H Cardiff vs
Birmingham 1–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Cardiff vs
Middlesbrough 2–2 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Bolton Wanderers 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
DDDDDWWWDW-
24 Oct 26 H Cardiff vs
Birmingham 1–0 W
-
29 Aug 26 H Cardiff vs
Sheffield United 2–2 D
Previous 10 Matches
DLLDLLLLDL-
17 Oct 26 A Cardiff vs
Middlesbrough 2–2 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Bolton Wanderers 0–1 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Cardiff vs
Portsmouth 0–2 L
-
18 Apr 25 A Cardiff vs
Sheffield United 0–2 L
Form & stats (Last 10)
14th in the league · 18 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLWLWDWLDW | 1.50 |
| Home | DDDDDWWWDW | 1.80 |
| Away | DLLDLLLLDL | 0.30 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 34% | 25% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.61 | 2.50 | 2.71 |
| Scored/game | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Conceded/game | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 48% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 36% | 33% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.13 | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| xG against/game | 1.59 | 1.41 | 1.77 |
| npxG/game | 1.06 | 1.21 | 0.91 |
| Deep completions/game | 3.8 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 18.5 | 16.4 | 20.5 |
| Led at half-time | 17% | 19% | 14% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 7% | 10% |
League standings
Norwich are 12th with 21 points. Cardiff are 14th with 18 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 | |
| 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 | |
| 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Norwich yet.
Out / doubtful
- A. Ahmed Injured · Ligament injury (back 2026-11-20)
- G. Forsyth Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-10)
- M. Touré Injured · Shoulder injury (back 2027-01-10)
- P. Diallo Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- V. Kovačević Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
No expected XI available for Cardiff yet.
Out / doubtful
- C. Chambers Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-20)
- D. Lawlor Injured · Hamstring injury (back 2026-11-20)
- K. Bielik Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- P. Ng Doubtful · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- W. T. Fish Doubtful · Hamstring injury (back 2026-11-19)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Norwich
- M. Touré ––– 5 7
- M. Kvistgaarden 001 4 7
- P. Maghoma 111 4 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Norwich
- J. Córdoba 1–– 6Y 1R 12
- J. Stacey 000 2Y 11
- R. McConville 000 2Y 13
Cardiff
- P. Ng 00– 4Y 14
- A. Robertson 00– 4Y 15
- J. Bagan 10– 4Y 15
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Norwich
- P. Mattsson ––– 25 11
- A. Brooks 211 15 15
- J. Córdoba 2–– 14 12
Cardiff
- J. Colwill 10– 18 8
- O. Tanner 10– 14 15
- P. Ng 00– 14 14
Most tackles
Tackles made
Norwich
- J. Stacey 265 40 11
- B. Chrisene 6–1 30 12
- P. Mattsson ––– 28 11
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Norwich
- J. Stacey 101 23 11
- P. Mattsson ––– 21 11
- B. Chrisene 1–2 19 12
Cardiff
- A. Robertson 12– 25 15
- P. Ng 21– 16 14
- K. Bielik ––– 12 7
Duels won
Challenges won
Norwich
- P. Mattsson ––– 64 11
- J. Stacey 275 61 11
- R. McConville 1127 60 13
Cardiff
- P. Ng 102– 78 14
- J. Bagan 64– 66 15
- J. Colwill 110– 62 8
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Norwich
- H. Darling –12 9 5
- J. Córdoba 0–– 7 12
- P. Mattsson ––– 7 11
Cardiff
- G. Osho ––– 13 10
- A. Robertson 12– 11 15
- J. Bagan 01– 10 15
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Norwich
- J. Wright 323 22 7
- P. Mattsson ––– 18 11
- A. Brooks 110 16 15
Cardiff
- O. Tanner 21– 27 15
- J. Bagan 11– 23 15
- A. Robertson 02– 22 15
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Cardiff Over 8.5 Shots on Target in the Match 88.9%
-
2
Cardiff Team Over 3.5 Corners 88.9%
-
3
Norwich Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target 88.9%
-
4
Cardiff Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 88.9%
-
5
Cardiff 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals 88.9%
-
1
NT
N. Trott Over 1.5 Saves 90.0%
-
2
YS
Y. Salech Over 0.5 Shots on Target 90.0%
-
3
RC
R. Colwill Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 85.7%
-
4
JM
J. Moylan Over 1.5 Shots 80.0%
-
5
DY
D. Yongwa Over 1.5 Tackles 71.4%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
7 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad