Norwich vs Millwall

Tue 02 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Norwich win · Most likely 39.4%
Draw 27.3%
Millwall win 33.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
Norwich clean sheet 27%Avg 28%
Millwall clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.0%
2-18.7%
2-06.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Norwich
  • Millwall

Did you know?

  • Norwich have outscored their xG by 1.09 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Norwich's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Millwall 3–0 Norwich
06 Apr 26 Millwall 1–2 Norwich
09 Aug 25 Norwich 1–2 Millwall
21 Apr 25 Millwall 3–1 Norwich
26 Dec 24 Norwich 2–1 Millwall
29 Dec 23 Millwall 1–0 Norwich
20 Aug 23 Norwich 3–1 Millwall
04 Mar 23 Millwall 2–3 Norwich
19 Aug 22 Norwich 2–0 Millwall
9meetings
  • Norwich win · 5 (56%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Millwall win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 3.11 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 78% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.67 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.67 League avg: 3.82
Norwich avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.31
Millwall avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 3–0 Norwich (22 Aug 26).

Norwich vs Millwall head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Norwich have won 5 times, Millwall have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Norwich scored 14 goals and Millwall scored 14 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, was won 3-0 by Millwall, at home against Norwich. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 9 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Norwich kept 1 clean sheet and Millwall kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Norwich
  • Open play side
Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 8th of 24 49% 13th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 14th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    18% of xG 23rd of 24 35% of xG 6th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 17th of 24 22% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Norwich, 35% against 18%.
  • Millwall go more through the air than Norwich, 22% of shots against 16%.
  • Millwall wait for better chances than Norwich, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Norwich Millwall
24 (2.4 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 135 (13.5 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
776 (77.6 avg) Attacks 913 (91.3 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 491 (49.1 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Key Passes 94 (10.4 avg)
4394 (439.4 avg) Passes 3528 (352.8 avg)
3476 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2607 (74%)
52% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Norwich Millwall
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 133 (13.3 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Offsides 29 (2.9 avg)
505 (50.5 avg) Duels Won 478 (53.1 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 223 (24.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Norwich

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)