Notts County
vs
Luton
Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Notts County. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Notts County
- Luton
Did you know?
- Notts County's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
- Luton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
- Notts County's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 matches.
H2H
All 1 meeting on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 26 | 2–2 |
- Notts County win · 0 (0%)
- Draw · 1 (100%)
- Luton win · 0 (0%)
Notts County vs Luton head to head: in their only meeting on file, Notts County have not won, Luton have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Notts County scored 2 goals and Luton scored 2 goals in that match. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Luton. Both teams scored. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Cedes possession
- Shoots on sight
- Plays on the floor
- Selective shooters
- Plays on the floor
- Keeps the ball
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball44% 21st of 24 54% 7th of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces27% of xG 15th of 24 25% of xG 18th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers15% of shots 18th of 24 15% of shots 20th of 24
Where they differ
- Luton wait for better chances than Notts County, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
- Luton see much more of the ball than Notts County, 54% against 44%.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 10 (100%)
- Over · 0 (0%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
Notts County
Previous 10 Matches
WDDLLLLWDW-
31 Oct 26 A Notts County vs
Mansfield Town 2–0 W
-
24 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Stockport County 1–1 D
-
20 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Notts County vs
Wycombe Wanderers 0–2 L
-
10 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Oxford 1–2 L
-
19 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Reading 0–2 L
-
12 Sep 26 H Notts County vs
Bradford City 0–1 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Huddersfield 1–1 D
-
01 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Doncaster Rovers 1–1 D
-
29 Aug 26 H Notts County vs
Burton Albion 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
WWLDDWLLWD-
24 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Stockport County 1–1 D
-
20 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 W
-
10 Oct 26 H Notts County vs
Oxford 1–2 L
-
12 Sep 26 H Notts County vs
Bradford City 0–1 L
-
29 Aug 26 H Notts County vs
Burton Albion 2–1 W
-
15 Aug 26 H Notts County vs
Leicester 1–1 D
-
02 May 26 H Notts County vs
Bristol Rovers 1–1 D
-
18 Apr 26 H Notts County vs
Barnet 1–2 L
-
06 Apr 26 H Notts County vs
Newport County 3–1 W
-
21 Mar 26 H Notts County vs
Cheltenham Town 5–2 W
Previous 10 Matches
WLLWDDDLLW-
31 Oct 26 A Notts County vs
Mansfield Town 2–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Notts County vs
Wycombe Wanderers 0–2 L
-
19 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Reading 0–2 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Huddersfield 1–1 D
-
01 Sep 26 A Notts County vs
Doncaster Rovers 1–1 D
-
22 Aug 26 A Notts County vs
Luton 2–2 D
-
25 Apr 26 A Notts County vs
Colchester United 1–0 W
-
11 Apr 26 A Notts County vs
Cambridge United 0–4 L
-
03 Apr 26 A Notts County vs
Salford City 1–2 L
-
28 Mar 26 A Notts County vs
Harrogate Town 2–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
17th in the league · 14 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDDLLLLWDW | 1.20 |
| Home* | WWLDDWLLWD | 1.50 |
| Away* | WLLWDDDLLW | 1.20 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.07 | 3.02 | 3.12 |
| Scored/game | 1.84 | 1.96 | 1.73 |
| Conceded/game | 1.23 | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 59% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 35% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 9% | 19% |
| xG/game | 1.11 | 1.41 | 0.82 |
| xG against/game | 1.28 | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| npxG/game | 0.98 | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Led at half-time | 39% | 42% | 35% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 15% | 20% | 12% |
Luton
Previous 10 Matches
DLLWLWWWWD-
03 Nov 26 A Luton vs
Huddersfield 1–1 D
-
31 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Peterborough United 2–0 W
-
27 Oct 26 H Luton vs
Doncaster Rovers 3–1 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Wycombe Wanderers 4–1 W
-
19 Sep 26 H Luton vs
Bradford City 0–1 L
-
05 Sep 26 H Luton vs
Leyton Orient 1–1 D
Previous 10 Matches
WWWDWDLWWW-
27 Oct 26 H Luton vs
Doncaster Rovers 3–1 W
-
19 Sep 26 H Luton vs
Bradford City 0–1 L
-
05 Sep 26 H Luton vs
Leyton Orient 1–1 D
-
02 Sep 26 H Luton vs
Stockport County 2–0 W
-
22 Aug 26 H Luton vs
Notts County 2–2 D
-
15 Apr 26 H Luton vs
Northampton Town 2–1 W
-
03 Apr 26 H Luton vs
Peterborough United 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
DWWWLLWLWD-
03 Nov 26 A Luton vs
Huddersfield 1–1 D
-
31 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Peterborough United 2–0 W
-
17 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Luton vs
Wycombe Wanderers 4–1 W
-
30 Aug 26 A Luton vs
Mansfield Town 2–5 L
-
02 May 26 A Luton vs
Bolton Wanderers 3–2 W
-
21 Apr 26 A Luton vs
Rotherham United 2–0 W
-
18 Apr 26 A Luton vs
Mansfield Town 2–2 D
Form & stats (Last 10)
4th in the league · 24 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLLWLWWWWD | 1.70 |
| Home | WWWDWDLWWW | 2.30 |
| Away | DWWWLLWLWD | 1.70 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 44% | 31% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.70 | 2.57 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.32 | 1.44 | 1.20 |
| Conceded/game | 1.38 | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 31% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 18% | 26% |
| xG/game | 1.36 | 1.56 | 1.15 |
| xG against/game | 1.55 | 1.20 | 1.89 |
| npxG/game | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.7 | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.7 | 11.8 | 17.6 |
| Led at half-time | 32% | 37% | 27% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 6% | 8% | 5% |
League standings
Notts County are 17th with 14 points. Luton are 4th with 24 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | +0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 | |
| 21 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Notts County
- L. Smyth 113 19 7
- C. Roberts 2–4 19 6
- N. Tsaroulla 201 14 11
Luton
- K. Palmer 401 30 12
- N. Wells 021 26 10
- C. Marshall 600 23 5
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Notts County
- L. Ness 213 18 12
- R. Finneran 411 18 9
- O. Cooper ––– 16 8
Luton
- K. Palmer 033 20 12
- L. Walsh 112 18 14
- C. Marshall 130 18 5
Most tackles
Tackles made
Notts County
- O. Cooper ––– 26 8
- I. Samuels-Smith 403 22 4
- D. Lipsiuc 021 20 7
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Notts County
- L. Ness 733 24 12
- N. Tsaroulla 010 15 11
- D. Lipsiuc 111 12 7
Luton
- M. Andersen 010 21 12
- H. Odofin ––– 12 9
- G. Johnston 110 11 14
Duels won
Challenges won
Luton
- K. Palmer 775 76 12
- M. Andersen 467 69 12
- G. Johnston 582 68 14
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Notts County
- L. Ness 001 17 12
- J. Bedeau 101 8 12
- J. Gibbons ––0 7 9
Luton
- G. Johnston 000 8 14
- M. Andersen 132 8 12
- L. Walsh 010 5 14
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Notts County
- N. Tsaroulla 201 15 11
- C. Roberts 0–2 11 6
- R. Finneran 202 9 9
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Notts County Team Over 10.5 Fouls 100.0%
-
2
Notts County Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 100.0%
-
3
Luton 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals 100.0%
-
4
Luton Over 8.5 Corners in the Match 90.0%
-
5
Luton Team Over 3.5 Corners 90.0%
-
1
LN
L. Ness Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
2
JC
J. Clark Over 0.5 Shots on Target 80.0%
-
3
JS
J. Shea Over 1.5 Saves 77.8%
-
4
IS
I. Samuels-Smith Over 1.5 Tackles 70.0%
-
5
KP
K. Palmer Over 1.5 Shots 70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad