Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan

Sat 15 May, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Pogon Szczecin win 30.2%
Draw 28.7%
Lech Poznan win · Most likely 41.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 60%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 54%
Pogon Szczecin clean sheet 22%Avg 28%
Lech Poznan clean sheet 28%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 49%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 75%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 57%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.0%
0-18.1%
0-26.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Pogon Szczecin
  • Lech Poznan

Did you know?

  • Lech Poznan have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Pogon Szczecin beat Lech Poznan 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Lech Poznan have outscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of Lech Poznan's last 10 matches.

H2H

10meetings
  • Pogon Szczecin win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 4 (40%)
  • Lech Poznan win · 5 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.10 League avg: 2.81
Over 2.5 goals 70% League avg: 54%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 60%
Whoever hosts wins 30% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.95
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 4.11
Pogon Szczecin avg. goals 1.30 League avg: 1.40
Lech Poznan avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.40

Biggest win: Pogon Szczecin 5–0 Lech Poznan (01 Oct 23).

Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Pogon Szczecin have won once, Lech Poznan have won 5 times and 4 ended in a draw. Pogon Szczecin scored 13 goals and Lech Poznan scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Lech Poznan, away at Pogon Szczecin. Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Pogon Szczecin kept 1 clean sheet and Lech Poznan kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Pogon Szczecin
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
Lech Poznan
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 16th of 18 56% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 3rd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    31% of xG 9th of 18 13% of xG 17th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 14th of 18 16% of shots 15th of 18

Where they differ

  • Lech Poznan see much more of the ball than Pogon Szczecin, 56% against 47%.
  • Pogon Szczecin get more of their chances from set pieces than Lech Poznan, 31% against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 29 (2.9 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Total Shots 183 (18.3 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 65 (6.5 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 56 (5.6 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 69 (6.9 avg)
684 (68.4 avg) Attacks 739 (73.9 avg)
412 (41.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 409 (40.9 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Key Passes 144 (14.4 avg)
3958 (395.8 avg) Passes 4634 (463.4 avg)
3215 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3914 (84%)
45% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan
3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Tackles 116 (11.6 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
458 (45.8 avg) Duels Won 398 (39.8 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 93 (9.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Pogon Szczecin

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Lech Poznan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)