Preston vs Derby

Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Preston win · Most likely 37.5%
Draw 27.8%
Derby win 34.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 51%
Preston clean sheet 27%Avg 28%
Derby clean sheet 26%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.2%
2-18.4%
2-06.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Preston
  • Derby

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Preston have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Preston have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Derby's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Preston 0–1 Derby
20 Sep 25 Derby 0–1 Preston
02 Apr 25 Derby 2–0 Preston
23 Nov 24 Preston 1–1 Derby
02 Apr 22 Derby 1–0 Preston
16 Oct 21 Preston 0–0 Derby
6meetings
  • Preston win · 1 (17%)
  • Draw · 2 (33%)
  • Derby win · 3 (50%)
Avg. total goals 1.17 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 17% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.17 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 3.82
Preston avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.31
Derby avg. goals 0.83 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 2–0 Preston (02 Apr 25).

Preston vs Derby head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Preston have won once, Derby have won 3 times and 2 ended in a draw. Preston scored 2 goals and Derby scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 1-0 by Derby, away at Preston. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 6 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Preston kept 2 clean sheets and Derby kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Preston
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Set piece heavy
Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    40% 23rd of 24 48% 15th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    37% of xG 4th of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 1st of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

  • Preston wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Derby see much more of the ball than Preston, 48% against 40%.
  • Preston go more through the air than Derby, 25% of shots against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Preston Derby
8 (0.8 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
730 (81.1 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)
350 (38.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)
71 (7.9 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
2868 (286.8 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)
1973 (69%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
37% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Preston Derby
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
121 (12.1 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
436 (48.4 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)
185 (20.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Preston

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)