Reading vs Stevenage

Mon 29 Mar, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Reading win · Most likely 43.0%
Draw 30.9%
Stevenage win 26.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 45%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 65%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 38%Avg 51%
Reading clean sheet 39%Avg 30%
Stevenage clean sheet 28%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 50%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 37%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-013.3%
2-08.6%
2-18.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Reading
  • Stevenage

Did you know?

  • Stevenage have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Reading's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Stevenage have outscored their xG by 0.40 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Matches between these two have averaged just 1.5 goals, well below the league average of 2.6.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Mar 26 Stevenage 1–0 Reading
06 Nov 25 Reading 1–0 Stevenage
15 Mar 25 Reading 1–1 Stevenage
09 Nov 24 Stevenage 1–1 Reading
06 Feb 24 Stevenage 0–1 Reading
19 Aug 23 Reading 2–0 Stevenage
6meetings
  • Reading win · 3 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (33%)
  • Stevenage win · 1 (17%)
Avg. total goals 1.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 9.17 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 3.67 League avg: 3.78
Reading avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Stevenage avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Reading 2–0 Stevenage (19 Aug 23).

Reading vs Stevenage head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Reading have won 3 times, Stevenage have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Reading scored 6 goals and Stevenage scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Mar 2026, was won 1-0 by Stevenage, at home against Reading. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Reading kept 3 clean sheets and Stevenage kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Reading
  • Selective shooters
Stevenage
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 12th of 24 44% 22nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 13th of 24 27% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 17th of 24 23% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Reading see much more of the ball than Stevenage, 49% against 44%.
  • Stevenage go more through the air than Reading, 23% of shots against 16%.
  • Reading wait for better chances than Stevenage, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Reading Stevenage
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Total Shots 117 (11.7 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
689 (68.9 avg) Attacks 692 (69.2 avg)
368 (36.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 289 (28.9 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 86 (8.6 avg)
3412 (341.2 avg) Passes 3255 (325.5 avg)
2516 (74%) Pass Accuracy 2241 (69%)
47% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Reading Stevenage
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Tackles 160 (16.0 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 110 (11.0 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Offsides 19 (2.1 avg)
546 (54.6 avg) Duels Won 578 (57.8 avg)
261 (26.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 242 (24.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Reading

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Stevenage

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)