Southampton vs Birmingham

Tue 20 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 44 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Southampton win · Most likely 48.5%
Draw 25.9%
Birmingham win 25.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 51%
Southampton clean sheet 31%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.7%
2-19.6%
2-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Southampton
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
  • Southampton have not lost to Birmingham in their last 5 meetings.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Southampton are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Sep 26 Birmingham 1–1 Southampton
29 Dec 25 Birmingham 1–1 Southampton
06 Dec 25 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham
02 Mar 24 Birmingham 3–4 Southampton
28 Oct 23 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham
5meetings
  • Southampton win · 3 (60%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Birmingham win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.80 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 3.82
Southampton avg. goals 2.40 League avg: 1.30
Birmingham avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Southampton 3–1 Birmingham (06 Dec 25).

Southampton vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Southampton have won 3 times, Birmingham have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Southampton scored 12 goals and Birmingham scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Birmingham. Southampton are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    56% 5th of 24 50% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 7th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 5th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 21st of 24 31% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 14th of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 31% against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Southampton Birmingham
19 (1.9 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
142 (14.2 avg) Total Shots 151 (15.1 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Shots on Target 58 (5.8 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
719 (79.9 avg) Attacks 783 (87.0 avg)
375 (41.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
103 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 105 (10.5 avg)
5019 (501.9 avg) Passes 4101 (410.1 avg)
4333 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3130 (76%)
54% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Southampton Birmingham
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
29 (3.2 avg) Offsides 20 (2.0 avg)
389 (38.9 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 187 (18.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)