Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 18 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Southampton win · Most likely 37.1%
Draw 25.9%
Middlesbrough win 37.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 51%
Southampton clean sheet 22%Avg 28%
Middlesbrough clean sheet 22%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 61%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 39%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%
1-07.2%
2-05.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Southampton
  • Middlesbrough

Did you know?

  • Middlesbrough have not lost to Southampton in their last 4 meetings.
  • Middlesbrough beat Southampton 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Middlesbrough's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Southampton have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Jan 26 Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton
27 Sep 25 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
29 Mar 24 Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
23 Sep 23 Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton
4meetings
  • Southampton win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Middlesbrough win · 2 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.50 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.25 League avg: 3.82
Southampton avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.31
Middlesbrough avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton (04 Jan 26).

Southampton vs Middlesbrough head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Southampton have not won, Middlesbrough have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Southampton scored 3 goals and Middlesbrough scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Jan 2026, was won 4-0 by Middlesbrough, at home against Southampton. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Middlesbrough kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
Middlesbrough
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 24 59% 2nd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    19% of xG 21st of 24 23% of xG 14th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 14th of 24 14% of shots 20th of 24

Where they differ

  • Middlesbrough get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 23% against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Southampton Middlesbrough
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
149 (14.9 avg) Total Shots 201 (20.1 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Shots on Target 68 (6.8 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Blocked Shots 64 (6.4 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Corners 66 (6.6 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 896 (89.6 avg)
376 (41.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 537 (53.7 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 158 (15.8 avg)
5258 (525.8 avg) Passes 5387 (538.7 avg)
4555 (87%) Pass Accuracy 4678 (87%)
56% Ball Possession 61%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Southampton Middlesbrough
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Fouls 89 (8.9 avg)
28 (3.1 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
386 (38.6 avg) Duels Won 444 (44.4 avg)
104 (10.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 130 (13.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Middlesbrough

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)