St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

St Johnstone win · Most likely 41.7%
Draw 24.7%
Kilmarnock win 33.6%

Limited history for St Johnstone. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 56%
St Johnstone clean sheet 25%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 21%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.0%
2-18.9%
2-06.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • St Johnstone
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • St Johnstone have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • St Johnstone's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

13meetings
  • St Johnstone win · 6 (46%)
  • Draw · 2 (15%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 5 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.77 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 54% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 54% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 54% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.92 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.23 League avg: 4.00
St Johnstone avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.43
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Kilmarnock 0–3 St Johnstone (11 Aug 24).

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, St Johnstone have won 6 times, Kilmarnock have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. St Johnstone scored 18 goals and Kilmarnock scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Oct 2026, ended 2-2 at Kilmarnock. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 13 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. St Johnstone kept 4 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

St Johnstone
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 10th of 12 47% 8th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 7th of 12 25% of xG 9th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 4th of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

St Johnstone Kilmarnock
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
96 (9.6 avg) Total Shots 128 (12.8 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
846 (84.6 avg) Attacks 842 (84.2 avg)
441 (44.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (47.3 avg)
71 (7.1 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
4165 (416.5 avg) Passes 4010 (401.0 avg)
3270 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3118 (78%)
45% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

St Johnstone Kilmarnock
3 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
11 (1.6 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
450 (45.0 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

St Johnstone

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)