St Mirren vs Hearts

Sat 05 Dec, 17:30 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

St Mirren win 27.9%
Draw 27.1%
Hearts win · Most likely 45.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 56%
St Mirren clean sheet 25%Avg 32%
Hearts clean sheet 35%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.4%
1-29.0%
0-28.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • St Mirren
  • Hearts

Did you know?

  • St Mirren have conceded in each of their last 9 matches.
  • Hearts's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Hearts have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Hearts beat St Mirren 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 18 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Oct 26 Hearts 5–0 St Mirren
03 Feb 26 St Mirren 1–0 Hearts
14 Jan 26 Hearts 2–0 St Mirren
29 Oct 25 St Mirren 2–2 Hearts
26 Feb 25 Hearts 3–1 St Mirren
19 Oct 24 Hearts 4–0 St Mirren
21 Sep 24 St Mirren 2–1 Hearts
15 May 24 St Mirren 2–2 Hearts
06 Apr 24 St Mirren 1–2 Hearts
23 Dec 23 Hearts 2–0 St Mirren
23 Sep 23 St Mirren 1–0 Hearts
13 May 23 St Mirren 2–2 Hearts
08 Apr 23 Hearts 0–2 St Mirren
13 Jan 23 Hearts 1–0 St Mirren
07 Jan 23 St Mirren 1–1 Hearts
26 Feb 22 St Mirren 0–2 Hearts
27 Nov 21 Hearts 2–0 St Mirren
07 Aug 21 St Mirren 1–2 Hearts
18meetings
  • St Mirren win · 4 (22%)
  • Draw · 4 (22%)
  • Hearts win · 10 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.72 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 44% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 10.44 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 4.00
St Mirren avg. goals 0.89 League avg: 1.44
Hearts avg. goals 1.83 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Hearts 5–0 St Mirren (10 Oct 26).

St Mirren vs Hearts head to head: in the previous 18 meetings, St Mirren have won 4 times, Hearts have won 10 times and 4 ended in a draw. St Mirren scored 16 goals and Hearts scored 33 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, was won 5-0 by Hearts, at home against St Mirren. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 18 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. St Mirren kept 3 clean sheets and Hearts kept 7.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

St Mirren
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Hearts
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 5th of 12 54% 3rd of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 12th of 12 0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 9th of 12 31% of xG 4th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    13% of shots 11th of 12 19% of shots 5th of 12

Where they differ

  • Hearts go more through the air than St Mirren, 19% of shots against 13%.
  • Hearts get more of their chances from set pieces than St Mirren, 31% against 24%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

St Mirren Hearts
6 (0.6 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Total Shots 166 (16.6 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 54 (5.4 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 52 (5.2 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 62 (6.2 avg)
754 (75.4 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
360 (36.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 488 (48.8 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Key Passes 116 (12.9 avg)
4479 (447.9 avg) Passes 4575 (457.5 avg)
3582 (80%) Pass Accuracy 3697 (81%)
50% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

St Mirren Hearts
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
186 (18.6 avg) Tackles 165 (16.5 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 14 (1.6 avg)
496 (49.6 avg) Duels Won 550 (61.1 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 194 (21.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

St Mirren

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Hearts

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)