St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

St Mirren win · Most likely 45.2%
Draw 25.5%
Kilmarnock win 29.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 56%
St Mirren clean sheet 30%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 22%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 84%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 68%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.8%
2-19.2%
2-07.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • St Mirren
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • St Mirren have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • St Mirren have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • St Mirren beat Kilmarnock 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 15 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
02 Sep 26 Kilmarnock 0–1 St Mirren
09 May 26 St Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock
11 Feb 26 Kilmarnock 4–3 St Mirren
27 Dec 25 St Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock
04 Oct 25 Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren
29 Mar 25 St Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock
02 Jan 25 Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren
14 Sep 24 St Mirren 2–2 Kilmarnock
11 May 24 St Mirren 0–1 Kilmarnock
16 Mar 24 Kilmarnock 5–2 St Mirren
27 Dec 23 St Mirren 0–1 Kilmarnock
30 Sep 23 Kilmarnock 1–1 St Mirren
22 Apr 23 St Mirren 0–2 Kilmarnock
02 Jan 23 Kilmarnock 0–0 St Mirren
15 Oct 22 St Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock
15meetings
  • St Mirren win · 2 (13%)
  • Draw · 5 (33%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 8 (53%)
Avg. total goals 2.53 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 33% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.27 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 3.73 League avg: 4.00
St Mirren avg. goals 0.93 League avg: 1.43
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: St Mirren 5–1 Kilmarnock (29 Mar 25).

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, St Mirren have won 2 times, Kilmarnock have won 8 times and 5 ended in a draw. St Mirren scored 14 goals and Kilmarnock scored 24 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 2 Sep 2026, was won 1-0 by St Mirren, away at Kilmarnock. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 15 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. St Mirren kept 4 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 9.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

St Mirren
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 5th of 12 47% 8th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 12th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 5th of 12 25% of xG 9th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 9th of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than St Mirren, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • St Mirren get more of their chances from set pieces than Kilmarnock, 27% against 25%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

St Mirren Kilmarnock
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 128 (12.8 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
757 (75.7 avg) Attacks 842 (84.2 avg)
364 (36.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (47.3 avg)
93 (9.3 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
4427 (442.7 avg) Passes 4010 (401.0 avg)
3567 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3118 (78%)
49% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

St Mirren Kilmarnock
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
188 (18.8 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
480 (48.0 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
99 (9.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

St Mirren

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)