Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Sat 06 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stevenage win · Most likely 43.5%
Draw 32.2%
Burton Albion win 24.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 41%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 60%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 33%Avg 51%
Stevenage clean sheet 43%Avg 30%
Burton Albion clean sheet 30%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 65%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 53%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 73%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 53%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-015.2%
2-09.2%
2-18.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stevenage
  • Burton Albion

Did you know?

  • Burton Albion have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burton Albion have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Stevenage have outscored their xG by 0.40 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two have ended in a draw.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage
07 Mar 26 Burton Albion 0–1 Stevenage
20 Dec 25 Stevenage 2–2 Burton Albion
18 Feb 25 Stevenage 0–1 Burton Albion
24 Aug 24 Burton Albion 0–0 Stevenage
13 Apr 24 Stevenage 1–2 Burton Albion
09 Dec 23 Burton Albion 1–2 Stevenage
7meetings
  • Stevenage win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 3 (43%)
  • Burton Albion win · 2 (29%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 57% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 9.14 League avg: 10.48
Avg. total cards 4.29 League avg: 3.78
Stevenage avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Burton Albion avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burton Albion 0–1 Stevenage (07 Mar 26).

Stevenage vs Burton Albion head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Stevenage have won 2 times, Burton Albion have won 2 times and 3 ended in a draw. Stevenage scored 7 goals and Burton Albion scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, ended 1-1 at Burton Albion. Stevenage are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 7 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Stevenage kept 2 clean sheets and Burton Albion kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stevenage
  • Cedes possession
Burton Albion
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    44% 22nd of 24 47% 16th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 12th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 20th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 14th of 24 35% of xG 7th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 8th of 24 15% of shots 19th of 24

Where they differ

  • Stevenage go more through the air than Burton Albion, 23% of shots against 15%.
  • Stevenage wait for better chances than Burton Albion, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Burton Albion get more of their chances from set pieces than Stevenage, 35% against 27%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stevenage Burton Albion
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Total Shots 123 (12.3 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 36 (3.6 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 40 (4.0 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
692 (69.2 avg) Attacks 737 (73.7 avg)
289 (28.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 380 (38.0 avg)
86 (8.6 avg) Key Passes 81 (8.1 avg)
3255 (325.5 avg) Passes 3772 (377.2 avg)
2241 (69%) Pass Accuracy 2760 (73%)
44% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stevenage Burton Albion
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
160 (16.0 avg) Tackles 171 (17.1 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
19 (2.1 avg) Offsides 8 (0.8 avg)
578 (57.8 avg) Duels Won 551 (55.1 avg)
242 (24.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 188 (18.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stevenage

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Burton Albion

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)