Stoke vs Southampton

Wed 03 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win 27.3%
Draw 26.3%
Southampton win · Most likely 46.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 20%Avg 28%
Southampton clean sheet 30%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.6%
1-29.4%
0-27.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Southampton

Did you know?

  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Stoke have won 7 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Stoke's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Southampton 3–1 Stoke
31 Jan 26 Stoke 0–2 Southampton
23 Aug 25 Southampton 1–2 Stoke
27 Apr 24 Southampton 0–1 Stoke
03 Oct 23 Stoke 0–1 Southampton
5meetings
  • Stoke win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Southampton win · 3 (60%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.80 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.40 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31
Southampton avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Southampton 3–1 Stoke (22 Aug 26).

Stoke vs Southampton head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Stoke have won 2 times, Southampton have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Stoke scored 4 goals and Southampton scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, was won 3-1 by Southampton, at home against Stoke. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 1 clean sheet and Southampton kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 57% 5th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 19% of xG 21st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 17% of shots 14th of 24

Where they differ

  • Southampton see much more of the ball than Stoke, 57% against 47%.
  • Southampton wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 32% against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Southampton
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 376 (41.8 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 5262 (526.2 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4555 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Southampton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 109 (10.9 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 81 (8.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 28 (3.1 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 386 (38.6 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 104 (10.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)