Stoke vs Watford

Sat 13 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Stoke win · Most likely 43.0%
Draw 28.8%
Watford win 28.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 51%
Stoke clean sheet 34%Avg 28%
Watford clean sheet 25%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.7%
2-18.8%
2-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Stoke
  • Watford

Did you know?

  • Watford have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Stoke beat Watford 0-4 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Stoke's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Sep 26 Watford 1–2 Stoke
14 Mar 26 Stoke 3–1 Watford
20 Dec 25 Watford 1–0 Stoke
01 Mar 25 Stoke 0–0 Watford
17 Aug 24 Watford 3–0 Stoke
29 Dec 23 Watford 1–1 Stoke
19 Aug 23 Stoke 1–0 Watford
08 May 23 Watford 2–0 Stoke
02 Oct 22 Stoke 0–4 Watford
9meetings
  • Stoke win · 3 (33%)
  • Draw · 2 (22%)
  • Watford win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 2.22 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.56 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.78 League avg: 3.82
Stoke avg. goals 0.78 League avg: 1.31
Watford avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 0–4 Watford (02 Oct 22).

Stoke vs Watford head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Stoke have won 3 times, Watford have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Stoke scored 7 goals and Watford scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 12 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Stoke, away at Watford. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Stoke kept 2 clean sheets and Watford kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 18th of 24 45% 21st of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 10th of 24 23% of xG 13th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 11th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Stoke go more through the air than Watford, 19% of shots against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Stoke Watford
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 119 (11.9 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Blocked Shots 29 (2.9 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 39 (3.9 avg)
783 (78.3 avg) Attacks 754 (75.4 avg)
358 (35.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 342 (34.2 avg)
89 (8.9 avg) Key Passes 73 (8.1 avg)
3839 (383.9 avg) Passes 3904 (390.4 avg)
3015 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3161 (81%)
47% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Stoke Watford
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 412 (45.8 avg)
178 (17.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (14.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)