Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers

Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Swindon Town win · Most likely 47.4%
Draw 25.9%
Bristol Rovers win 26.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 52%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 73%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 47%
Swindon Town clean sheet 30%Avg 32%
Bristol Rovers clean sheet 19%Avg 24%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 64%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 75%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-09.2%
2-07.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Swindon Town
  • Bristol Rovers

Did you know?

  • Swindon Town have not lost to Bristol Rovers in their last 5 meetings.
  • Bristol Rovers have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Bristol Rovers have gone 6 matches without a win.
  • Bristol Rovers have underscored their xG by 0.51 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Oct 26 Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
28 Feb 26 Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
13 Dec 25 Bristol Rovers 0–3 Swindon Town
22 Jan 22 Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
02 Oct 21 Bristol Rovers 1–3 Swindon Town
5meetings
  • Swindon Town win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 3 (60%)
  • Bristol Rovers win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 52%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.85
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.93
Swindon Town avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.28
Bristol Rovers avg. goals 0.60 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Bristol Rovers 0–3 Swindon Town (13 Dec 25).

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Swindon Town have won 2 times, Bristol Rovers have not won and 3 ended in a draw. Swindon Town scored 8 goals and Bristol Rovers scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, ended 0-0 at Bristol Rovers. Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Swindon Town kept 2 clean sheets and Bristol Rovers kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Swindon Town Bristol Rovers
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 6 (0.6 avg)
120 (12.0 avg) Total Shots 121 (12.1 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Blocked Shots 39 (3.9 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
838 (83.8 avg) Attacks 858 (85.8 avg)
389 (38.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 449 (44.9 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Key Passes 83 (8.3 avg)
3338 (333.8 avg) Passes 3038 (303.8 avg)
2327 (70%) Pass Accuracy 1907 (63%)
45% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Swindon Town Bristol Rovers
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
185 (18.5 avg) Tackles 135 (13.5 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Fouls 138 (13.8 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Offsides 23 (2.6 avg)
536 (53.6 avg) Duels Won 567 (56.7 avg)
233 (23.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 288 (28.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Swindon Town

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Bristol Rovers

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)