Watford vs Birmingham

Sat 24 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 45 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Watford win 28.8%
Draw 29.1%
Birmingham win · Most likely 42.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 51%
Watford clean sheet 26%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 34%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.8%
1-28.7%
0-27.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Watford
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Watford have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Birmingham's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Watford beat Birmingham 3-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Jan 26 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
01 Dec 25 Birmingham 2–1 Watford
16 Mar 24 Birmingham 0–1 Watford
16 Sep 23 Watford 2–0 Birmingham
14 Mar 23 Watford 3–0 Birmingham
16 Aug 22 Birmingham 1–1 Watford
6meetings
  • Watford win · 4 (67%)
  • Draw · 1 (17%)
  • Birmingham win · 1 (17%)
Avg. total goals 2.33 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.82
Watford avg. goals 1.83 League avg: 1.31
Birmingham avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Watford 3–0 Birmingham (01 Jan 26).

Watford vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Watford have won 4 times, Birmingham have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Watford scored 11 goals and Birmingham scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Jan 2026, was won 3-0 by Watford, at home against Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Watford kept 4 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    45% 21st of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 13th of 24 32% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 21st of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Watford, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Birmingham go more through the air than Watford, 21% of shots against 14%.
  • Birmingham see much more of the ball than Watford, 51% against 45%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Watford Birmingham
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 157 (15.7 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 61 (6.1 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
754 (75.4 avg) Attacks 793 (88.1 avg)
342 (34.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
79 (7.9 avg) Key Passes 106 (10.6 avg)
3905 (390.5 avg) Passes 4236 (423.6 avg)
3161 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3249 (77%)
48% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Watford Birmingham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
451 (45.1 avg) Duels Won 498 (49.8 avg)
139 (13.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 197 (19.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)