Watford
vs
Bristol City
Sat 20 Feb, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Watford
- Bristol City
Did you know?
- Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
- Bristol City have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
- Bristol City have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.
- Watford beat Bristol City 1-4 in the biggest recent win between these two.
H2H
All 9 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 26 | 1–0 | ||
| 27 Feb 26 | 1–2 | ||
| 07 Nov 25 | 1–1 | ||
| 05 Apr 25 | 2–1 | ||
| 26 Nov 24 | 1–0 | ||
| 20 Jan 24 | 1–1 | ||
| 26 Dec 23 | 1–4 | ||
| 15 Apr 23 | 2–0 | ||
| 12 Nov 22 | 0–0 |
- Watford win · 3 (33%)
- Draw · 3 (33%)
- Bristol City win · 3 (33%)
Biggest win: Watford 1–4 Bristol City (26 Dec 23).
Watford vs Bristol City head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Watford have won 3 times, Bristol City have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Watford scored 9 goals and Bristol City scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Sep 2026, was won 1-0 by Bristol City, at home against Watford. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 9 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Watford kept 3 clean sheets and Bristol City kept 2.
How they play
Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Shoots on sight
- Cedes possession
- Plays on the floor
- Crosses and headers
- Cedes possession
- Selective shooters
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball45% 21st of 24 46% 19th of 24
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces23% of xG 13th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers14% of shots 21st of 24 25% of shots 2nd of 24
Where they differ
- Bristol City go more through the air than Watford, 25% of shots against 14%.
- Bristol City wait for better chances than Watford, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (33%)
- Over · 6 (67%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
Watford
Previous 10 Matches
WLLLLWLLWD-
07 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Middlesbrough 0–0 D
-
03 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Lincoln City 1–0 W
-
18 Sep 26 A Watford vs
Bristol City 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
LLWDWLLWWD-
07 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Middlesbrough 0–0 D
-
03 Nov 26 H Watford vs
Lincoln City 1–0 W
-
16 Aug 26 H Watford vs
Southampton 2–1 W
-
18 Apr 26 H Watford vs
Sheffield United 0–2 L
Previous 10 Matches
LLLDLLLLLL-
18 Sep 26 A Watford vs
Bristol City 0–1 L
-
25 Apr 26 A Watford vs
Middlesbrough 1–5 L
Form & stats (Last 10)
20th in the league · 15 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLLWLLWD | 1.00 |
| Home | LLWDWLLWWD | 1.40 |
| Away | LLLDLLLLLL | 0.10 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 29% | 38% | 21% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.62 | 2.60 | 2.65 |
| Scored/game | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Conceded/game | 1.48 | 1.34 | 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% | 51% |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 30% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 26% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.19 | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| xG against/game | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.58 |
| npxG/game | 1.12 | 1.20 | 1.04 |
| Deep completions/game | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.2 | 13.7 | 14.7 |
| Led at half-time | 19% | 21% | 17% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 7% | 10% | 4% |
Bristol City
Previous 10 Matches
LLWDLLDWLL-
07 Nov 26 H Bristol City vs
Norwich 0–5 L
-
04 Nov 26 H Bristol City vs
Wolves 1–2 L
-
31 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Bolton Wanderers 3–2 W
-
24 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Stoke 0–0 D
-
17 Oct 26 H Bristol City vs
Sheffield United 0–1 L
-
13 Oct 26 H Bristol City vs
Blackburn 0–1 L
-
10 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Charlton 1–1 D
-
18 Sep 26 H Bristol City vs
Watford 1–0 W
-
15 Sep 26 H Bristol City vs
Lincoln City 0–1 L
-
12 Sep 26 A Bristol City vs
Southampton 1–4 L
Previous 10 Matches
LWLWLWLLLL-
07 Nov 26 H Bristol City vs
Norwich 0–5 L
-
04 Nov 26 H Bristol City vs
Wolves 1–2 L
-
17 Oct 26 H Bristol City vs
Sheffield United 0–1 L
-
13 Oct 26 H Bristol City vs
Blackburn 0–1 L
-
18 Sep 26 H Bristol City vs
Watford 1–0 W
-
15 Sep 26 H Bristol City vs
Lincoln City 0–1 L
-
29 Aug 26 H Bristol City vs
Portsmouth 2–1 W
-
15 Aug 26 H Bristol City vs
Millwall 0–2 L
-
02 May 26 H Bristol City vs
Stoke 2–0 W
-
18 Apr 26 H Bristol City vs
Norwich 2–4 L
Previous 10 Matches
DDLDWWLDDW-
31 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Bolton Wanderers 3–2 W
-
24 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Stoke 0–0 D
-
10 Oct 26 A Bristol City vs
Charlton 1–1 D
-
12 Sep 26 A Bristol City vs
Southampton 1–4 L
-
05 Sep 26 A Bristol City vs
Burnley 2–1 W
-
01 Sep 26 A Bristol City vs
Preston 3–1 W
-
22 Aug 26 A Bristol City vs
Birmingham 2–2 D
-
25 Apr 26 A Bristol City vs
Birmingham 1–2 L
-
21 Apr 26 A Bristol City vs
Southampton 2–2 D
-
11 Apr 26 A Bristol City vs
QPR 0–0 D
Form & stats (Last 10)
17th in the league · 18 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWDLLDWLL | 0.80 |
| Home | LWLWLWLLLL | 0.90 |
| Away | DDLDWWLDDW | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 42% | 28% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.56 | 2.48 | 2.63 |
| Scored/game | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| Conceded/game | 1.31 | 1.12 | 1.51 |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 52% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | 34% |
| xG/game | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| xG against/game | 1.28 | 1.20 | 1.36 |
| npxG/game | 1.16 | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Led at half-time | 32% | 40% | 24% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 10% | 17% | 5% |
League standings
Watford are 20th with 15 points. Bristol City are 17th with 18 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | +0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 | |
| 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 | |
| 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Watford yet.
Out / doubtful
- J. Ngakia Injured · Thigh injury (back 2026-11-30)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Watford
- A. Nabizada –00 3 8
- L. Kjerrumgaard ––0 2 7
- M. Boadu 20– 2 5
Bristol City
- S. Twine 110 5 11
- D. Ballard 100 4 8
- L. Tolaj 000 2 11
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Watford
- I. Bravo 001 7 13
- M. Doumbia 100 7 7
- A. Nabizada –00 6 8
Bristol City
- S. Twine 112 10 11
- D. Ballard 111 10 8
- Y. Hirakawa 10– 8 9
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Watford
- I. Bravo 022 22 13
- E. Kayembe 132 22 11
- M. Doumbia 101 15 7
Bristol City
- L. Tolaj 210 29 11
- D. Ballard 112 29 8
- S. Twine 123 21 11
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Watford
- I. Bravo 000 4Y 13
- A. Nabizada –00 4Y 8
- H. Kyprianou 00– 4Y 14
Bristol City
- J. Knight 000 4Y 15
- A. Randell 000 2Y 1R 5
- L. N. Eissat 000 2Y 12
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Watford
- M. Pollock 211 17 15
- H. Kyprianou 10– 16 14
- E. Kayembe 022 16 11
Bristol City
- J. Knight 022 23 15
- L. Tolaj 301 22 11
- L. N. Eissat 103 17 12
Most tackles
Tackles made
Watford
- H. Kyprianou 02– 24 14
- K. K. Biakolo 301 20 14
- J. Zemura 2–0 20 8
Bristol City
- R. Cardines 132 25 13
- J. Williams 236 22 9
- C. Pring 343 21 8
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Watford
- M. Pollock 211 20 15
- H. Kyprianou 00– 20 14
- J. Zemura 2–1 15 8
Bristol City
- G. Tanner 021 14 12
- J. Knight 220 13 15
- L. N. Eissat 122 13 12
Duels won
Challenges won
Watford
- I. Bravo 445 70 13
- H. Kyprianou 55– 66 14
- M. Pollock 2115 65 15
Bristol City
- L. N. Eissat 1515 61 12
- J. Knight 341 59 15
- R. Dickie ––5 58 8
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Watford
- M. Pollock 303 27 15
- K. K. Biakolo 100 15 14
- H. Kyprianou 02– 11 14
Bristol City
- R. Dickie ––0 8 8
- R. Atkinson ––– 8 5
- G. Tanner 000 6 12
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Watford
- I. Bravo 220 15 13
- J. Zemura 1–1 15 8
- E. Kayembe 020 13 11
Bristol City
- R. Cardines 225 42 13
- S. Twine 100 12 11
- J. Knight 200 9 15
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Bristol City Odd Number of Goals 80.0%
-
2
Watford 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals 77.8%
-
3
Bristol City Team Over 10.5 Fouls 70.0%
-
4
Bristol City Team Over 12.5 Shots 66.7%
-
5
Watford Over 8.5 Shots on Target in the Match 66.7%
-
1
FR
F. Ravaglia Over 2.5 Saves 90.0%
-
2
JK
J. Knight Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
3
EK
E. Kayembe Over 1.5 Shots 70.0%
-
4
HK
H. Kyprianou Over 1.5 Tackles 60.0%
-
5
YH
Y. Hirakawa Over 0.5 Shots on Target 60.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
2 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad