Watford vs Millwall

Sat 05 Dec, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Watford win 31.6%
Draw 28.5%
Millwall win · Most likely 39.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 46%Avg 51%
Watford clean sheet 26%Avg 28%
Millwall clean sheet 31%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.5%
1-28.6%
0-27.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Watford
  • Millwall

Did you know?

  • Millwall have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Millwall's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Millwall have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Millwall have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 Watford 0–2 Millwall
22 Sep 25 Millwall 1–0 Watford
08 Mar 25 Watford 1–2 Millwall
10 Aug 24 Millwall 2–3 Watford
02 Mar 24 Millwall 1–0 Watford
28 Oct 23 Watford 2–2 Millwall
26 Dec 22 Watford 0–2 Millwall
19 Oct 22 Millwall 3–0 Watford
8meetings
  • Watford win · 1 (12%)
  • Draw · 1 (12%)
  • Millwall win · 6 (75%)
Avg. total goals 2.62 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.12 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.12 League avg: 3.82
Watford avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.31
Millwall avg. goals 1.88 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Millwall 3–0 Watford (19 Oct 22).

Watford vs Millwall head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Watford have won once, Millwall have won 6 times and 1 ended in a draw. Watford scored 6 goals and Millwall scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 2-0 by Millwall, away at Watford. Millwall have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 8 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Millwall kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    45% 21st of 24 49% 13th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 13th of 24 35% of xG 6th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 21st of 24 22% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall wait for better chances than Watford, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Millwall go more through the air than Watford, 22% of shots against 14%.
  • Millwall see much more of the ball than Watford, 49% against 45%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Watford Millwall
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 135 (13.5 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
754 (75.4 avg) Attacks 913 (91.3 avg)
342 (34.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 491 (49.1 avg)
79 (7.9 avg) Key Passes 99 (9.9 avg)
3904 (390.4 avg) Passes 3528 (352.8 avg)
3161 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2607 (74%)
48% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Watford Millwall
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Tackles 133 (13.3 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 29 (2.9 avg)
451 (45.1 avg) Duels Won 531 (53.1 avg)
139 (13.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 243 (24.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)