Watford vs Swansea

Wed 21 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 44 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Watford win 32.2%
Draw 28.8%
Swansea win · Most likely 39.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 51%
Watford clean sheet 27%Avg 28%
Swansea clean sheet 31%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.7%
1-28.5%
0-26.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Watford
  • Swansea

Did you know?

  • Swansea beat Watford 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Watford have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Swansea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Swansea's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 5 of their last 10.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Sep 26 Swansea 2–0 Watford
31 Jan 26 Watford 0–2 Swansea
23 Aug 25 Swansea 1–1 Watford
12 Mar 25 Watford 1–0 Swansea
05 Nov 24 Swansea 1–0 Watford
06 Mar 24 Watford 1–1 Swansea
24 Oct 23 Swansea 0–1 Watford
30 Dec 22 Swansea 4–0 Watford
05 Oct 22 Watford 1–2 Swansea
9meetings
  • Watford win · 2 (22%)
  • Draw · 2 (22%)
  • Swansea win · 5 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 22% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.56 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.22 League avg: 3.82
Watford avg. goals 0.56 League avg: 1.30
Swansea avg. goals 1.44 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Swansea 4–0 Watford (30 Dec 22).

Watford vs Swansea head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Watford have won 2 times, Swansea have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Watford scored 5 goals and Swansea scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Sep 2026, was won 2-0 by Swansea, at home against Watford. Swansea are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Watford kept 2 clean sheets and Swansea kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Cedes possession
Swansea
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 19th of 24 58% 3rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 16th of 24 21% of xG 19th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 20th of 24 14% of shots 21st of 24

Where they differ

  • Swansea wait for better chances than Watford, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Swansea see much more of the ball than Watford, 58% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Watford Swansea
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 14 (1.4 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Total Shots 112 (11.2 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
755 (75.5 avg) Attacks 774 (86.0 avg)
347 (34.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (39.8 avg)
81 (8.1 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
4092 (409.2 avg) Passes 5544 (554.4 avg)
3326 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4632 (84%)
50% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Watford Swansea
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.3 avg)
147 (14.7 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 101 (10.1 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Offsides 22 (2.2 avg)
457 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 471 (47.1 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Swansea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)