Watford vs Wrexham

Tue 02 Mar, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Watford win 34.5%
Draw 30.3%
Wrexham win · Most likely 35.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 67%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 40%Avg 51%
Watford clean sheet 31%Avg 28%
Wrexham clean sheet 32%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.3%
1-27.7%
0-26.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Watford
  • Wrexham

Did you know?

  • Wrexham's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Wrexham have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Watford have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Wrexham's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Aug 26 Wrexham 1–1 Watford
17 Mar 26 Watford 3–1 Wrexham
13 Dec 25 Wrexham 2–2 Watford
3meetings
  • Watford win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 2 (67%)
  • Wrexham win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.33 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 3.82
Watford avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Wrexham avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Watford 3–1 Wrexham (17 Mar 26).

Watford vs Wrexham head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Watford have won once, Wrexham have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Watford scored 6 goals and Wrexham scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, ended 1-1 at Wrexham. Watford are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Watford
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
Wrexham
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    45% 21st of 24 48% 14th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 24th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 18th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 13th of 24 28% of xG 11th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 21st of 24 23% of shots 4th of 24

Where they differ

  • Wrexham go more through the air than Watford, 23% of shots against 14%.
  • Wrexham see much more of the ball than Watford, 48% against 45%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Watford Wrexham
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 124 (12.4 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (3.5 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Corners 45 (4.5 avg)
754 (75.4 avg) Attacks 782 (78.2 avg)
342 (34.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 356 (35.6 avg)
79 (7.9 avg) Key Passes 80 (8.0 avg)
3905 (390.5 avg) Passes 4265 (426.5 avg)
3161 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3407 (80%)
48% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Watford Wrexham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Tackles 161 (16.1 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 103 (10.3 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
451 (45.1 avg) Duels Won 436 (43.6 avg)
139 (13.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Watford

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Wrexham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)