West Brom vs Derby

Wed 07 Apr, 18:45 UTC · Matchweek 41 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

West Brom win · Most likely 55.2%
Draw 24.9%
Derby win 19.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 51%
West Brom clean sheet 37%Avg 28%
Derby clean sheet 17%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • West Brom
  • Derby

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • West Brom's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
09 Sep 26 Derby 0–1 West Brom
23 Jan 26 Derby 1–1 West Brom
13 Sep 25 West Brom 0–1 Derby
21 Apr 25 West Brom 1–3 Derby
26 Dec 24 Derby 2–1 West Brom
27 Dec 21 Derby 1–0 West Brom
14 Sep 21 West Brom 0–0 Derby
7meetings
  • West Brom win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 2 (29%)
  • Derby win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 1.71 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 29% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.86 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.57 League avg: 3.82
West Brom avg. goals 0.57 League avg: 1.31
Derby avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: West Brom 1–3 Derby (21 Apr 25).

West Brom vs Derby head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, West Brom have won once, Derby have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. West Brom scored 4 goals and Derby scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 9 Sep 2026, was won 1-0 by West Brom, away at Derby. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. West Brom kept 2 clean sheets and Derby kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

West Brom
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    55% 6th of 24 48% 15th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 2nd of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 16th of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 6th of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

  • West Brom wait for better chances than Derby, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than West Brom, 36% against 22%.
  • West Brom see much more of the ball than Derby, 55% against 48%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

West Brom Derby
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
796 (88.4 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)
403 (44.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
5027 (502.7 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)
4246 (84%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
56% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

West Brom Derby
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
173 (17.3 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
102 (10.2 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
523 (52.3 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

West Brom

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)