Match summary
Arsenal won 1-0 at home to Man City, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Gabriel Martinelli put Arsenal ahead in the 86th minute, set up by Kai Havertz.
Man City can feel hard done by, creating 0.86 expected goals (xG) from 4 shots to Arsenal's 0.39 from 12.
Before kick-off
Arsenal win
32%
Avg odds 3.00
Draw
29%
Avg odds 3.30
Man City win
39%
Avg odds 2.50
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.