Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

24 February 2024 · Premier League · 2023/24 · Referee Samuel Barrott

Full time 4 – 2

Half-time: 3–1

Ollie Watkins 4’
Douglas Luiz 29’, 39’
Leon Bailey 61’

Moussa Niakhate 45+5’
Morgan Gibbs-White 48’

Match summary

Aston Villa won 4-2 at home to Nott'm Forest. Aston Villa led 3-1 at half-time.

In the first half, Ollie Watkins put Aston Villa ahead in the 4th minute, set up by Leon Bailey, Douglas Luiz made it 2-0 in the 29th minute, set up by Jacob Ramsey, Luiz made it 3-0 with a header in the 39th minute, set up by John McGinn, and Moussa Niakhate pulled one back to make it 3-1 from a corner in first-half stoppage time, set up by Taiwo Awoniyi. In the second half, Morgan Gibbs-White made it 3-2 in the 48th minute, set up by Divock Origi and Leon Bailey made it 4-2 in the 61st minute.

The chances backed that up: Aston Villa created 3.74 expected goals (xG) from 16 shots to Nott'm Forest's 2.26 from 10.

Match stats

16 Shots 10

6 Shots on Target 3

7 Corners 2

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

3.49 xG 2.26

3.49 Non-penalty xG 2.26

16 Deep Completions 7

Key events

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest

Kick-off

Ollie Watkins
Assist: Leon Bailey

1-0

4’

Douglas Luiz
Assist: Jacob Ramsey

2-0

29’

Douglas Luiz
Assist: John McGinn

3-0

39’

45+5’

Moussa Niakhate
Assist: Taiwo Awoniyi

3-1

Half-time3-1

48’

Morgan Gibbs-White
Assist: Divock Origi

3-2

Leon Bailey

4-2

61’

Full-time4-2

Bookings

Card times are not on file for this game, so they are listed without a minute.

Aston Villa

Álex Moreno

Nott'm Forest

Felipe
Murillo

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

Aston Villa 3.74 xGNott'm Forest 2.26 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

Nott'm Forest attacking Aston Villa attacking

Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Player stats

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	Sh	xG	xA	KP
Emiliano Martinez	GK	90			0	0.00	0.00	0
Matthew Cash	DEF	90			1	0.11	0.00	0
Clement Lenglet	DEF	90			0	0.00	0.00	0
Pau Torres	DEF	52			0	0.00	0.00	0
Álex Moreno	DEF	65			0	0.00	0.11	1
Leon Bailey	MID	90	1	1	3	0.70	0.92	1
Douglas Luiz	MID	90	2		3	0.86	0.00	0
John McGinn	MID	90		1	0	0.00	0.48	2
Jacob Ramsey	MID	90		1	2	0.17	0.66	3
Ollie Watkins	FWD	90	1		4	1.59	0.09	1
Youri Tielemans	FWD	88			1	0.11	0.08	1
Calum Chambers	Sub	38			0	0.00	0.00	0
Lucas Digne	Sub	25			1	0.07	0.00	0
Nicolo Zaniolo	Sub	2			0	0.00	0.13	1
Moussa Diaby	Sub	1			0	0.00	0.00	0
Morgan Rogers	Sub	1			1	0.13	0.00	0

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	Sh	xG	xA	KP
Matz Sels	GK	90			0	0.00	0.00	0
Neco Williams	DEF	90			0	0.00	0.09	1
Felipe	DEF	52			0	0.00	0.00	0
Murillo	DEF	52			0	0.00	0.00	0
Moussa Niakhate	DEF	90	1		1	0.95	0.00	0
Danilo	MID	90			1	0.03	0.00	0
Nicolás Domínguez	MID	79			1	0.01	0.00	0
Anthony Elanga	MID	90			1	0.27	0.00	0
Morgan Gibbs-White	MID	87	1		1	0.33	0.35	1
Callum Hudson-Odoi	MID	90			4	0.31	0.01	1
Taiwo Awoniyi	FWD	52		1	0	0.00	0.95	1
Divock Origi	Sub	38		1	0	0.00	0.71	3
Andrew Omobamidele	Sub	38			0	0.00	0.00	0
Harry Toffolo	Sub	38			0	0.00	0.00	0
Ryan Yates	Sub	11			1	0.35	0.00	0
Giovanni Reyna	Sub	3			0	0.00	0.00	0

Starters first, then substitutes. xA is expected assists.

Before kick-off

Aston Villa win 61% Avg odds 1.58

Draw 21% Avg odds 4.51

Nott'm Forest win 18% Avg odds 5.39

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Aston Villa D L W L W

Nott'm Forest L L D L W

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Previous meeting: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Aston Villa, 05 Nov 23 Next meeting: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa, 14 Dec 24 All Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest meetings

Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.