Match summary
Watford won 1-0 away at Aston Villa. It was goalless at half-time.
Emmanuel Dennis put Watford ahead with a header in the 78th minute, set up by Ismaila Sarr.
The chances backed that up: Watford created 1.82 expected goals (xG) from 8 shots to Aston Villa's 1.03 from 20.
Before kick-off
Aston Villa win
58%
Avg odds 1.65
Draw
25%
Avg odds 3.95
Watford win
17%
Avg odds 5.57
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.