Match summary
Birmingham saw off Plymouth 2-1, with the winner arriving in stoppage time. Birmingham led 1-0 at half-time.
Scott Hogan put Birmingham ahead in the 8th minute, Ryan Hardie equalised in the 60th minute, and Jay Stansfield won it in stoppage time.
The chances backed that up: Birmingham created 2.23 expected goals (xG) from 13 shots to Plymouth's 1.58 from 16.
Before kick-off
Birmingham win
49%
Avg odds 1.94
Draw
27%
Avg odds 3.54
Plymouth win
24%
Avg odds 3.95
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.