Match summary
Burnley beat Watford 1-0. It was goalless at half-time.
Jay Rodriguez put Burnley ahead with a header in the 73rd minute, set up by Dwight McNeil.
The chances backed that up: Burnley created 1.06 expected goals (xG) from 9 shots to Watford's 0.50 from 10.
Before kick-off
Burnley win
27%
Avg odds 3.59
Draw
30%
Avg odds 3.20
Watford win
43%
Avg odds 2.22
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.