Derby vs Luton

18 April 2025 · Championship · 2024/25 · Referee J Linington

Full time 0 – 1

Half-time: 0–1

  • Millenic Alli 10’

Match summary

Luton beat Derby 1-0 on the road. Luton led 1-0 at half-time.

Millenic Alli put Luton ahead from a corner in the 10th minute.

Derby can feel hard done by, creating 1.78 expected goals (xG) from 14 shots to Luton's 0.52 from 8.

Match stats

Derby Luton
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1.78 xG 0.52
1.78 Non-penalty xG 0.52

Key events

Derby Luton
Kick-off
10’
Millenic Alli0-1 (Luton)
Half-time0-1
Full-time0-1

Bookings

Card times are not on file for this game, so they are listed without a minute.

Derby
  • Sondre Langås
  • Kayden Jackson
Luton
  • Millenic Alli
  • Carlton Morris

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.78 0.52 10’ Millenic Alli (Luton), 0-1 10’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.78 0.52 10’ Millenic Alli (Luton), 0-1 Alli 10’
Derby 1.78 xGLuton 0.52 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Luton attacking Derby attacking 
85’ Marcus Harness (Derby), from a corner, 0.58 xG, saved 58’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.31 xG, saved 38’ Mark McGuinness (Luton), from a corner, 0.19 xG, off target 67’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), set piece, 0.19 xG, blocked 51’ Marcus Harness (Derby), open play, 0.16 xG, blocked 47’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.12 xG, saved 10’ Millenic Alli (Luton), from a corner, 0.12 xG, goal 52’ Jerry Yates (Derby), from a corner, 0.08 xG, blocked 58’ Kane Wilson (Derby), set piece, 0.08 xG, saved 31’ Christ Makosso (Luton), from a corner, 0.06 xG, off target 52’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), from a corner, 0.06 xG, blocked 31’ Christ Makosso (Luton), from a corner, 0.06 xG, off target 63’ Ebou Adams (Derby), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 63’ Jerry Yates (Derby), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 68’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 26’ Lamine Fanne (Luton), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 41’ Jordan Clark (Luton), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 75’ Jerry Yates (Derby), from a corner, 0.02 xG, off target 7’ Kane Wilson (Derby), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 24’ Thelo Aasgaard (Luton), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 36’ Millenic Alli (Luton), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 49’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 85’ Marcus Harness (Derby), from a corner, 0.58 xG, saved 58’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.31 xG, saved 38’ Mark McGuinness (Luton), from a corner, 0.19 xG, off target 67’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), set piece, 0.19 xG, blocked 51’ Marcus Harness (Derby), open play, 0.16 xG, blocked 47’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.12 xG, saved 10’ Millenic Alli (Luton), from a corner, 0.12 xG, goal 52’ Jerry Yates (Derby), from a corner, 0.08 xG, blocked 58’ Kane Wilson (Derby), set piece, 0.08 xG, saved 31’ Christ Makosso (Luton), from a corner, 0.06 xG, off target 31’ Christ Makosso (Luton), from a corner, 0.06 xG, off target 52’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), from a corner, 0.06 xG, blocked 63’ Ebou Adams (Derby), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 63’ Jerry Yates (Derby), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 68’ Jerry Yates (Derby), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 26’ Lamine Fanne (Luton), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 41’ Jordan Clark (Luton), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 75’ Jerry Yates (Derby), from a corner, 0.02 xG, off target 7’ Kane Wilson (Derby), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 36’ Millenic Alli (Luton), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 24’ Thelo Aasgaard (Luton), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 49’ Nathaniel Phillips (Derby), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Player stats

Players13 players
90′ – – – – – – –
Sondre Langås Taken off
76′ – – – – – –
90′ – – 3 0.26 – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
Kane Wilson
90′ – – 2 0.09 – – –
Harrison Armstrong Taken off
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – 1 0.05 – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
Jerry Yates
90′ – – 6 0.63 – – –
Marcus Harness
90′ – – 2 0.74 – – –
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing Taken off
15′ – – – – – – –
Kayden Jackson Came on as a substitute
75′ – – – – – –
Kenzo Goudmijn Came on as a substitute
14′ – – – – – – –
Came on Taken off Sent off Red is the most in that position for the team

Every player who took the pitch, starters first and then substitutes. A dash means none. xG and xA are expected goals and assists.

Before kick-off

Derby win 38% Avg odds 2.49
Draw 33% Avg odds 2.92
Luton win 29% Avg odds 3.22

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.