Match summary
Millwall won 1-0 away at Derby, with the winner arriving in stoppage time. It was goalless at half-time.
Josh Coburn put Millwall ahead in stoppage time.
The chances backed that up: Millwall created 2.62 expected goals (xG) from 11 shots to Derby's 0.41 from 9. Josh Coburn had a penalty saved for Millwall.
Before kick-off
Derby win
37%
Avg odds 2.55
Draw
33%
Avg odds 2.89
Millwall win
30%
Avg odds 3.21
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.