Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United

14 February 2026 · National League · 2025/26 · Referee Carl Brook

Full time 1 – 3

Half-time: 0–3

  • Jay Mingi 52’
  • Stephen Wearne 11’
  • Morgan Feeney 22’
  • David Ajiboye 29’

Match summary

Carlisle United beat Forest Green Rovers 3-1 on the road. Carlisle United led 3-0 at half-time.

In the first half, Stephen Wearne put Carlisle United ahead in the 11th minute, Morgan Feeney made it 0-2 with a header in the 22nd minute, and David Ajiboye made it 0-3 in the 29th minute. In the second half, Jay Mingi pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 52nd minute.

Forest Green Rovers can feel hard done by, creating 2.69 expected goals (xG) from 25 shots to Carlisle United's 1.74 from 7.

Match stats

64% Possession 36%
25 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 1
505 Passes 291
76.6% Pass accuracy 66.3%
1 Tackles 2
10 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
2 Offsides 0

Key events

Forest Green Rovers Carlisle United
Kick-off
6’
11’
Stephen WearneRight foot shot0-1 (Carlisle United)
22’
Morgan FeeneyHeader0-2 (Carlisle United)
29’
David AjiboyeLeft foot shot0-3 (Carlisle United)
39’
Half-time0-3
Kyle McAllisterShot on target
48’
Second half underway
Jay MingiRight foot shot1-3 (Forest Green Rovers)
52’
53’
Luke ArmstrongShot on target
65’
Terell ThomasElliot Embleton
66’
Kyle McAllisterShot on target
67’
Gabriel KircoughShot on target
72’
88’
90’
Full-time1-3

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 2.69 1.74 11’ Stephen Wearne (Carlisle United), 0-1 11’ 22’ Morgan Feeney (Carlisle United), 0-2 22’ 29’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), 0-3 29’ 52’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), 1-3 52’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 2.69 1.74 11’ Stephen Wearne (Carlisle United), 0-1 Wearne 11’ 22’ Morgan Feeney (Carlisle United), 0-2 Feeney 22’ 29’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), 0-3 Ajiboye 29’ 52’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), 1-3 Mingi 52’
Forest Green Rovers 2.69 xGCarlisle United 1.74 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Carlisle United attacking Forest Green Rovers attacking 
52’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.64 xG, goal 11’ Stephen Wearne (Carlisle United), open play, 0.52 xG, goal 57’ Ricardo Rees (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.49 xG, off target 29’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.38 xG, goal 22’ Morgan Feeney (Carlisle United), open play, 0.35 xG, goal 53’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.35 xG, off target 67’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.28 xG, off target 41’ Tate Campbell (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.23 xG, blocked 40’ Abraham Kanu (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.15 xG, off target 75’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.14 xG, blocked 47’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.13 xG, blocked 87’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 47’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.10 xG, blocked 53’ Luke Armstrong (Carlisle United), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 72’ Jili Buyabu (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 90+1’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 72’ Gabriel Kircough (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 67’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 81’ Luke Armstrong (Carlisle United), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 14’ Jili Buyabu (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 48’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.03 xG, saved 59’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 28’ Jayden Clarke (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 76’ Gabriel Kircough (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 19’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 34’ Tate Campbell (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 75’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 77’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 41’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 87’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.00 xG, blocked 90+6’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.00 xG, blocked 90+2’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.00 xG, off target 52’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.64 xG, goal 11’ Stephen Wearne (Carlisle United), open play, 0.52 xG, goal 57’ Ricardo Rees (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.49 xG, off target 29’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.38 xG, goal 22’ Morgan Feeney (Carlisle United), open play, 0.35 xG, goal 53’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.35 xG, off target 67’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.28 xG, off target 41’ Tate Campbell (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.23 xG, blocked 40’ Abraham Kanu (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.15 xG, off target 75’ Jay Mingi (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.14 xG, blocked 47’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.13 xG, blocked 87’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 47’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.10 xG, blocked 72’ Jili Buyabu (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 53’ Luke Armstrong (Carlisle United), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 90+1’ Joshua Osude (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 72’ Gabriel Kircough (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 67’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 81’ Luke Armstrong (Carlisle United), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 14’ Jili Buyabu (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 48’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.03 xG, saved 59’ Kyle McAllister (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 28’ Jayden Clarke (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 76’ Gabriel Kircough (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 19’ David Ajiboye (Carlisle United), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 34’ Tate Campbell (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 75’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 77’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 41’ Chibuzo Nwoko (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 87’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), set piece, 0.00 xG, blocked 90+6’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.00 xG, blocked 90+2’ Tom Knowles (Forest Green Rovers), open play, 0.00 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Forest Green Rovers 4-2-3-1 Starting XI
Isted
Buyabu
Ahmed 57’
Mendy
Kanu 46’
Campbell
Nwoko
Clarke 46’
Haughton 26’
McAllister
Rees
Carlisle United 4-2-3-1 Starting XI
Breeze
Williams 87’
Mugabi
Feeney
Galvin
Macadam
Gilliead
Ajiboye 87’
Wearne 78’
Embleton 65’
Armstrong

Player stats

Goalkeeper1 player
90′ 1 3 24 – – – – –
Defenders5 players
Ashqar Ahmed Taken off
61′ – 1 – 7 3 25 1 – – –
90′ – 3 – 15 10 81 – – – –
Abraham Kanu Taken off
49′ – 2 – 1 1 35 – – – –
Gabriel Kircough Came on as a substitute
44′ – 2 – 11 10 31 2 – –
Jay Mingi Came on as a substitute
44′ – 1 – 2 1 12 1 1 – –
Midfielders7 players
90′ – – 48 3 0.23 – – 14 1 4 –
90′ – – 40 – – 1 2 8 1 – –
Chibuzo Nwoko
90′ – – 54 1 0.03 – – 3 – 2 –
90′ – – 67 5 0.26 – – 7 – 1 –
Nicolas Haughton Taken off
25′ – – 11 – – – 1 – 1 –
Jayden Clarke Taken off
49′ – – 19 – – – 1 4 1 1 –
Tom Knowles Came on as a substitute
43′ – – 27 2 0.13 – 2 3 1 1 –
Forwards2 players
90′ – 1 1 – 0.49 0.64 1 3 1 12 –
Joshua Osude Came on as a substitute
64′ – – 3 – 0.48 0.50 2 7 1 19 –
Came on Taken off Sent off Red is the most in that position for the team

Every player who took the pitch, starters first and then substitutes. A dash means none. xG and xA are expected goals and assists.

Before kick-off

Forest Green Rovers win 50% Avg odds 1.81
Draw 25% Avg odds 3.62
Carlisle United win 25% Avg odds 3.68

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.