Paderborn vs Hamburg

24 October 2026 · Bundesliga · 2026/27 · Referee Martin Petersen

Full time 1 – 0

Half-time: 0–0

  • Rayan Philippe 88’

Match summary

Paderborn won 1-0 at home to Hamburg, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.

Rayan Philippe put Paderborn ahead in the 88th minute, set up by Felix Götze.

The chances backed that up: Paderborn created 1.36 expected goals (xG) from 16 shots to Hamburg's 0.42 from 9.

Paderborn claimed a narrow 1-0 victory against Hamburg in their Bundesliga Matchday 7 fixture after dominating the contest territorially and statistically. The hosts controlled 62 percent of possession and registered 16 shots compared to their opponents 9, forcing the visitors goalkeeper into action to keep the score level through the opening periods. Paderborn also led 6 to 3 in corners, 155 to 79 in attacks, and completed 532 passes with 84 percent accuracy. Discipline was fairly even with 12 fouls committed by Paderborn and 15 by Hamburg, resulting in 1 yellow card for the home side and 2 for the visitors.

The match remained goalless at half-time following a first period that saw Hamburg make an early change on 13 minutes with Otto Stange replacing the injured Fábio Vieira. Both teams made substitutions at the start of the second half, and the referee issued yellow cards to Hamburg player Shafiq Nandja on 53 minutes and Paderborn player Jano ter Horst on 58 minutes. Further tactical changes occurred throughout the half before Hamburg suffered another injury withdrawal on 71 minutes as Albert Grønbæk replaced Bilal Nadir. The decisive moment arrived in the 88th minute when Rayan Philippe scored with a left foot shot to put Paderborn 1-0 ahead. Late cautions for time wasting and arguments went to Albert Sambi Lokonga and Merlin Polzin respectively as Paderborn secured the win.

Match stats

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 3
155 Attacks 79
58 Dangerous attacks 29
532 Passes 332
84% Pass accuracy 73%
11 Tackles 23
12 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
2 Offsides 0

Key events

Paderborn Hamburg
Kick-off
13’
Otto StangeFábio VieiraInjury
Corner
21’
Corner
21’
Corner
31’
Corner
31’
37’
Corner
Half-time0-0
Tom BaackGabriel Vidovic
46’
46’
Terem MoffiYussuf Poulsen
Santiago CastañedaShot on target
47’
Second half underway
53’
Shafiq NandjaFoul
Steffen TiggesShot on target
54’
Jano ter HorstFoul
58’
Felix GötzeJano ter Horst
62’
Marvin PieringerSteffen Tigges
62’
Rayan PhilippeLaurin Ulrich
70’
71’
Albert GrønbækBilal NadirInjury
71’
Albert Sambi LokongaMiro Muheim
Raphael ObermairShot on target
72’
Santiago CastañedaShot on target
72’
Corner
72’
Corner
73’
Sven MichelStefano Marino
79’
Raphael ObermairShot on target
82’
86’
Corner
87’
Albert Sambi LokongaTime wasting
Rayan PhilippeLeft foot shot1-0 (Paderborn)
88’
89’
Alexander Røssing-LelesiitOtto Stange
89’
Merlin PolzinManagerArgument
90+2’
Sebastiaan BornauwShot on target
90+2’
Corner
Full-time1-0

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.36 0.42 88’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), 1-0 88’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.36 0.42 88’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), 1-0 Philippe 88’
Paderborn 1.36 xGHamburg 0.42 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Hamburg attacking Paderborn attacking 
47’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.47 xG, saved 90+5’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), open play, 0.17 xG, off target 22’ Tjark Scheller (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.15 xG, off target 38’ David Møller Wolfe (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.09 xG, off target 64’ Bilal Nadir (Hamburg), direct free kick, 0.09 xG, off target 54’ Steffen Tigges (Paderborn), set piece, 0.08 xG, saved 73’ Laurin Curda (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.07 xG, hit the woodwork 90+2’ Sebastiaan Bornauw (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 30’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 68’ Marvin Pieringer (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 72’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.05 xG, saved 86’ Zakaria El Ouahdi (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 65’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 72’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 76’ Marvin Pieringer (Paderborn), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 90’ Albert Grønbæk (Hamburg), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 3’ Laurin Ulrich (Paderborn), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 59’ Terem Igobor Moffi (Hamburg), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 82’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), open play, 0.03 xG, saved 88’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), set piece, 0.03 xG, goal 9’ Fábio Vieira (Hamburg), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 52’ Otto Stange (Hamburg), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 69’ Mattes Hansen (Paderborn), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 72’ Tom Baack (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 90+5’ Zakaria El Ouahdi (Hamburg), set piece, 0.01 xG, blocked 47’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.47 xG, saved 90+5’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), open play, 0.17 xG, off target 22’ Tjark Scheller (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.15 xG, off target 64’ Bilal Nadir (Hamburg), direct free kick, 0.09 xG, off target 38’ David Møller Wolfe (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.09 xG, off target 54’ Steffen Tigges (Paderborn), set piece, 0.08 xG, saved 73’ Laurin Curda (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.07 xG, hit the woodwork 90+2’ Sebastiaan Bornauw (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.06 xG, saved 30’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 68’ Marvin Pieringer (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 72’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.05 xG, saved 86’ Zakaria El Ouahdi (Hamburg), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 65’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.05 xG, blocked 72’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 76’ Marvin Pieringer (Paderborn), set piece, 0.04 xG, off target 90’ Albert Grønbæk (Hamburg), open play, 0.04 xG, off target 3’ Laurin Ulrich (Paderborn), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 59’ Terem Igobor Moffi (Hamburg), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 82’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), open play, 0.03 xG, saved 88’ Rayan Philippe (Paderborn), set piece, 0.03 xG, goal 9’ Fábio Vieira (Hamburg), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 52’ Otto Stange (Hamburg), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 69’ Mattes Hansen (Paderborn), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 72’ Tom Baack (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 90+5’ Zakaria El Ouahdi (Hamburg), set piece, 0.01 xG, blocked
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Paderborn 3-5-2 Starting XI
Noll
Horst 62’
Scheller
Hansen
Curda
Ulrich 70’
Castañeda
Vidovic 46’
Obermair
Marino 79’
Tigges 62’
Hamburg 3-5-2 Starting XI
Fernandes
Omari
Bornauw
Nandja
Wolfe
Muheim 71’
Nadir 71’
Adeline
Ouahdi
Poulsen 46’
Vieira 13’

Player stats

Goalkeeper1 player
Nahuel Nicolas Noll
90′ 1 0 44 – – – – –
Defenders4 players
Mattes Hansen
90′ 1 1 – 5 4 88 1 – – –
Tjark Scheller
90′ 2 1 – 6 4 82 1 – – –
Jano ter Horst Taken off
62′ 2 2 – 4 2 47 4 – –
Felix Götze Came on as a substitute
28′ 1 2 – 3 1 18 1 – 1 –
Midfielders6 players
Laurin Curda
90′ – – 43 2 0.07 1 – 6 1 2 –
Raphael Obermair
90′ – – 43 3 0.28 1 – 2 1 – –
Santiago Castañeda
90′ – – 51 – – 1 7 10 1 4 –
Laurin Ulrich Taken off
70′ – – 26 – – 1 1 6 – 4 –
Gabriel Vidovic Taken off
45′ – – 20 – – – – 1 1 1 –
Tom Baack Came on as a substitute
45′ – – 23 1 0.47 – – 2 – – –
Forwards5 players
Stefano Marino Taken off
79′ – – – – – – – 3 2 19 –
Steffen Tigges Taken off
62′ – – 1 1 0.08 – – 4 – 12 –
Marvin Pieringer Came on as a substitute
28′ – – 2 – 0.09 – – 3 – 5 –
Rayan Philippe Came on as a substitute
20′ 1 – 2 1 0.20 0.05 1 1 – 8 –
Sven Michel Came on as a substitute
11′ – – – – – – – 1 – 3 –
Came on Taken off Sent off Red is the most in that position for the team

Every player who took the pitch, starters first and then substitutes. A dash means none. xG and xA are expected goals and assists.

Before kick-off

Paderborn win 44% Avg odds 2.15 Our estimate 38%
Draw 25% Avg odds 3.69 Our estimate 27%
Hamburg win 31% Avg odds 3.07 Our estimate 35%

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. Our estimate is the figure from before kick-off. How our figures work.

Form going into the game

Paderborn LLWLD
Hamburg LLWWW

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

 Previous meeting: Paderborn 2-0 Hamburg, 02 Mar 25 Next meeting: Hamburg vs Paderborn, 03 Mar 27 (upcoming)  All Paderborn vs Hamburg meetings

Match report

All Bundesliga news 

Our write-up of this game.

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Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Sportmonks. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.