Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel

2 August 2025 · 2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · Referee Felix Prigan

Full time 2 – 1

Half-time: 1–0

  • Marcel Hoffmeier 29’
  • Filip Bilbija 90+9’
  • Armin Gigović 85’

Match summary

Paderborn won 2-1 at home to Holstein Kiel, with the winner arriving in stoppage time. Paderborn led 1-0 at half-time.

Marcel Hoffmeier put Paderborn ahead from a corner in the 29th minute, Armin Gigović equalised with a direct free kick in the 85th minute, and Filip Bilbija won it in stoppage time.

The chances backed that up: Paderborn created 1.22 expected goals (xG) from 9 shots to Holstein Kiel's 0.42 from 7.

Key events

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
47’
Lasse RosenboomShot on target
Stefano MarinoShot on target
90+8’

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.22 0.42 29’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), 1-0 29’ 85’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), 1-1 85’ 90+9’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), 2-1 90+9’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.22 0.42 29’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), 1-0 Hoffmeier 29’ 85’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), 1-1 Gigović 85’ 90+9’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), 2-1 Bilbija 90+9’
Paderborn 1.22 xGHolstein Kiel 0.42 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Holstein Kiel attacking Paderborn attacking 
90+9’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), open play, 0.51 xG, goal 90+8’ Stefano Marino (Paderborn), set piece, 0.42 xG, saved 85’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), direct free kick, 0.14 xG, goal 47’ Lasse Rosenboom (Holstein Kiel), set piece, 0.12 xG, saved 66’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 44’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), open play, 0.09 xG, off target 27’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.08 xG, off target 35’ Steven Skrzybski (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 41’ Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 32’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 39’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.02 xG, blocked 19’ Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 29’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.02 xG, goal 76’ Lucas Copado (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 7’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 58’ John Tolkin (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 90+9’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), open play, 0.51 xG, goal 90+8’ Stefano Marino (Paderborn), set piece, 0.42 xG, saved 85’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), direct free kick, 0.14 xG, goal 47’ Lasse Rosenboom (Holstein Kiel), set piece, 0.12 xG, saved 66’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 44’ Filip Bilbija (Paderborn), open play, 0.09 xG, off target 27’ Armin Gigović (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.08 xG, off target 35’ Steven Skrzybski (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 41’ Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.03 xG, off target 32’ Raphael Obermair (Paderborn), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 39’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.02 xG, blocked 19’ Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), set piece, 0.02 xG, off target 29’ Marcel Hoffmeier (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.02 xG, goal 76’ Lucas Copado (Paderborn), from a corner, 0.01 xG, blocked 7’ Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 58’ John Tolkin (Holstein Kiel), open play, 0.01 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Paderborn 3-4-2-1 Starting XI
Seimen
Hoffmeier
Scheller
Brackelmann
Curda
Engelns
Castañeda
Obermair
Bätzner
Bilbija
Copado
Holstein Kiel 3-4-3 Starting XI
Krumrey
Nekić
Zec
Ivezić
Tolkin
Schwab
Davidsen
Rosenboom
Bernhardsson
Skrzybski
Gigović

Player stats

Players11 players
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ 1 – 2 0.04 – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – 2 0.13 – – –
90′ – – 1 0.02 – – –
90′ 1 – 2 0.60 – – –
Nick Bätzner
90′ – – – – – – –
90′ – – 1 0.01 – – –
Came on Taken off Sent off Red is the most in that position for the team

Every player who took the pitch, starters first and then substitutes. A dash means none. xG and xA are expected goals and assists.

Before kick-off

Paderborn win 41% Avg odds 2.23
Draw 27% Avg odds 3.44
Holstein Kiel win 32% Avg odds 2.91

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Shots, expected goals, timeline, lineups, team and player statistics from Bzzoiro Sports Data (sports.bzzoiro.com). Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.