Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Sat 10 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen win · Most likely 48.9%
Draw 24.6%
Kilmarnock win 26.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 56%
Aberdeen clean sheet 31%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 19%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.2%
2-19.6%
2-07.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aberdeen
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Aberdeen have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Kilmarnock beat Aberdeen 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 11 of the last 14 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
05 Sep 26 Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
25 Apr 26 Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
31 Jan 26 Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen
14 Dec 25 Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
29 Oct 25 Kilmarnock 0–1 Aberdeen
22 Feb 25 Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
26 Dec 24 Kilmarnock 4–0 Aberdeen
25 Aug 24 Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock
24 Feb 24 Kilmarnock 2–0 Aberdeen
06 Dec 23 Aberdeen 0–1 Kilmarnock
29 Oct 23 Kilmarnock 2–0 Aberdeen
08 Apr 23 Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock
28 Dec 22 Kilmarnock 2–1 Aberdeen
01 Oct 22 Aberdeen 4–1 Kilmarnock
14meetings
  • Aberdeen win · 7 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (7%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 6 (43%)
Avg. total goals 2.14 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 36% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 21% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 79% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 10.86 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 4.93 League avg: 4.00
Aberdeen avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.43
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Kilmarnock 4–0 Aberdeen (26 Dec 24).

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Aberdeen have won 7 times, Kilmarnock have won 6 times and 1 ended in a draw. Aberdeen scored 14 goals and Kilmarnock scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, ended 0-0 at Aberdeen. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 14 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Aberdeen kept 6 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Aberdeen
  • Crosses and headers
  • Set piece heavy
  • Shoots on sight
Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 7th of 12 47% 8th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 9th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    34% of xG 2nd of 12 25% of xG 9th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 1st of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

  • Aberdeen get more of their chances from set pieces than Kilmarnock, 34% against 25%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Aberdeen, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Aberdeen go more through the air than Kilmarnock, 22% of shots against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 128 (12.8 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
50 (5.0 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
64 (6.4 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
791 (79.1 avg) Attacks 842 (84.2 avg)
451 (45.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (47.3 avg)
85 (9.4 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
3901 (390.1 avg) Passes 4010 (401.0 avg)
3032 (78%) Pass Accuracy 3118 (78%)
45% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
21 (2.6 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
430 (47.8 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
135 (15.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aberdeen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)