AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland

Sun 14 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AGF Aarhus win · Most likely 45.8%
Draw 26.8%
Nordsjaelland win 27.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 61%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 59%
AGF Aarhus clean sheet 26%Avg 25%
Nordsjaelland clean sheet 17%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 68%
Over 9.5 corners 68%Avg 57%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 67%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.3%
1-06.9%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AGF Aarhus
  • Nordsjaelland

Did you know?

  • AGF Aarhus's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Nordsjaelland beat AGF Aarhus 7-2 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Nordsjaelland have picked up 2.4 cards per game over their last 10, well above the league average of 1.0.
  • AGF Aarhus have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 13 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
13 Sep 26 Nordsjaelland 2–0 AGF Aarhus
23 Apr 26 Nordsjaelland 1–1 AGF Aarhus
10 Apr 26 AGF Aarhus 1–1 Nordsjaelland
24 Oct 25 AGF Aarhus 1–0 Nordsjaelland
28 Sep 25 Nordsjaelland 1–2 AGF Aarhus
16 May 25 Nordsjaelland 2–0 AGF Aarhus
30 Mar 25 AGF Aarhus 2–0 Nordsjaelland
22 Nov 24 Nordsjaelland 1–0 AGF Aarhus
31 Aug 24 AGF Aarhus 4–2 Nordsjaelland
03 May 24 AGF Aarhus 1–3 Nordsjaelland
22 Apr 24 Nordsjaelland 7–2 AGF Aarhus
26 Nov 23 Nordsjaelland 0–0 AGF Aarhus
31 Jul 23 AGF Aarhus 1–3 Nordsjaelland
13meetings
  • AGF Aarhus win · 4 (31%)
  • Draw · 3 (23%)
  • Nordsjaelland win · 6 (46%)
Avg. total goals 2.92 League avg: 3.07
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 59%
Both teams to score 54% League avg: 61%
Whoever hosts wins 54% League avg: 44%
Avg. total corners 8.20 League avg: 9.97
Avg. total cards 3.40 League avg: 3.63
AGF Aarhus avg. goals 1.15 League avg: 1.54
Nordsjaelland avg. goals 1.77 League avg: 1.54

Biggest win: Nordsjaelland 7–2 AGF Aarhus (22 Apr 24).

AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland head to head: in the previous 13 meetings, AGF Aarhus have won 4 times, Nordsjaelland have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. AGF Aarhus scored 15 goals and Nordsjaelland scored 23 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Sep 2026, was won 2-0 by Nordsjaelland, at home against AGF Aarhus. Nordsjaelland are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 13 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. AGF Aarhus kept 3 clean sheets and Nordsjaelland kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AGF Aarhus
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Keeps the ball
Nordsjaelland
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 12 58% 1st of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12 0.13 xG a shot 1st of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    33% of xG 3rd of 12 19% of xG 11th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 9th of 12 12% of shots 11th of 12

Where they differ

  • Nordsjaelland wait for better chances than AGF Aarhus, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • AGF Aarhus get more of their chances from set pieces than Nordsjaelland, 33% against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AGF Aarhus Nordsjaelland
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
160 (16.0 avg) Total Shots 170 (17.0 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Corners 47 (4.7 avg)
N/A Attacks 719 (79.9 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 336 (37.3 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Key Passes 130 (13.0 avg)
5044 (504.4 avg) Passes 5449 (544.9 avg)
4316 (86%) Pass Accuracy 4669 (86%)
55% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AGF Aarhus Nordsjaelland
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 166 (16.6 avg)
104 (10.4 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
8 (0.9 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
484 (48.4 avg) Duels Won 460 (46.0 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 92 (9.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AGF Aarhus

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Nordsjaelland

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)