Almeria vs Castellon

Sun 07 Mar, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Almeria win · Most likely 44.8%
Draw 24.5%
Castellon win 30.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 50%
Almeria clean sheet 26%Avg 32%
Castellon clean sheet 19%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 75%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.1%
1-08.3%
2-06.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Almeria
  • Castellon

Did you know?

  • Almeria are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Almeria have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Castellon's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Almeria have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
02 Apr 26 Castellon 2–0 Almeria
26 Oct 25 Almeria 1–0 Castellon
18 Apr 25 Castellon 4–1 Almeria
16 Sep 24 Almeria 2–5 Castellon
4meetings
  • Almeria win · 1 (25%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Castellon win · 3 (75%)
Avg. total goals 3.75 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.25 League avg: 9.39
Avg. total cards 5.25 League avg: 5.42
Almeria avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Castellon avg. goals 2.75 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Castellon 4–1 Almeria (18 Apr 25).

Almeria vs Castellon head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Almeria have won once, Castellon have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Almeria scored 4 goals and Castellon scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 2 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Castellon, at home against Almeria. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 4 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Almeria kept 1 clean sheet and Castellon kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Almeria
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
Castellon
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 18 59% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 1st of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 14th of 18 25% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 14th of 18 18% of shots 11th of 18

Where they differ

  • Castellon wait for better chances than Almeria, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Castellon get more of their chances from set pieces than Almeria, 25% against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Almeria Castellon
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 22 (2.2 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 141 (14.1 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 51 (5.1 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Corners 42 (4.2 avg)
639 (63.9 avg) Attacks 935 (93.5 avg)
324 (32.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 518 (51.8 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 107 (10.7 avg)
4738 (473.8 avg) Passes 5607 (560.7 avg)
4040 (85%) Pass Accuracy 4901 (87%)
52% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Almeria Castellon
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Tackles 206 (20.6 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Fouls 105 (10.5 avg)
9 (1.0 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
457 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 510 (51.0 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 100 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Almeria

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Castellon

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)