Almeria vs Ceuta

Sun 21 Feb, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Almeria win · Most likely 65.6%
Draw 19.1%
Ceuta win 15.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 64%Avg 50%
Almeria clean sheet 35%Avg 32%
Ceuta clean sheet 10%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 50%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 86%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 75%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
2-09.2%
1-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Almeria
  • Ceuta

Did you know?

  • Almeria are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Almeria have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Ceuta's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Ceuta have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Feb 26 Almeria 4–2 Ceuta
26 Nov 25 Ceuta 3–2 Almeria
2meetings
  • Almeria win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Ceuta win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 5.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 100% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 5.50 League avg: 9.43
Avg. total cards 6.50 League avg: 5.50
Almeria avg. goals 3.00 League avg: 1.31
Ceuta avg. goals 2.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Almeria 4–2 Ceuta (01 Feb 26).

Almeria vs Ceuta head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Almeria have won once, Ceuta have won once and none ended in a draw. Almeria scored 6 goals and Ceuta scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Feb 2026, was won 4-2 by Almeria, at home against Ceuta. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Almeria
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
Ceuta
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 18 51% 7th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 9th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 14th of 18 21% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 14th of 18 17% of shots 13th of 18

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Almeria Ceuta
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 175 (17.5 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 50 (5.0 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 55 (5.5 avg)
34 (3.4 avg) Corners 71 (7.1 avg)
639 (63.9 avg) Attacks 756 (75.6 avg)
324 (32.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 427 (42.7 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Key Passes 120 (12.0 avg)
4738 (473.8 avg) Passes 4068 (406.8 avg)
4041 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3312 (81%)
52% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Almeria Ceuta
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 28 (2.8 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Tackles 184 (18.4 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Fouls 134 (13.4 avg)
9 (1.0 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
457 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 571 (57.1 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 114 (11.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Almeria

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Ceuta

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)