Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel

Sat 03 Apr, 10:00 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Arminia Bielefeld win · Most likely 49.5%
Draw 25.3%
Holstein Kiel win 25.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 79%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 58%
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
Holstein Kiel clean sheet 18%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 71%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
1-09.0%
2-07.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Arminia Bielefeld
  • Holstein Kiel

Did you know?

  • Arminia Bielefeld have not lost to Holstein Kiel in their last 5 meetings.
  • Holstein Kiel have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
  • Arminia Bielefeld's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
07 Nov 26 Holstein Kiel 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld
23 Jan 26 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel
10 Aug 25 Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld
02 Apr 23 Holstein Kiel 2–3 Arminia Bielefeld
17 Sep 22 Arminia Bielefeld 4–2 Holstein Kiel
5meetings
  • Arminia Bielefeld win · 4 (80%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Holstein Kiel win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 4.00 League avg: 2.94
Over 2.5 goals 80% League avg: 58%
Both teams to score 80% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 5.50 League avg: 4.54
Arminia Bielefeld avg. goals 2.60 League avg: 1.47
Holstein Kiel avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.47

Biggest win: Holstein Kiel 0–2 Arminia Bielefeld (10 Aug 25).

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 4 times, Holstein Kiel have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Arminia Bielefeld scored 13 goals and Holstein Kiel scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 7 Nov 2026, was won 2-1 by Arminia Bielefeld, away at Holstein Kiel. Arminia Bielefeld are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 5 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Arminia Bielefeld kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Arminia Bielefeld
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
Holstein Kiel
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 16th of 18 54% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 8th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    39% of xG 2nd of 18 27% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 4th of 18 21% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Holstein Kiel see much more of the ball than Arminia Bielefeld, 54% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Arminia Bielefeld Holstein Kiel
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Total Shots 140 (14.0 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
537 (89.5 avg) Attacks 576 (82.3 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (38.3 avg)
80 (8.0 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
3760 (376.0 avg) Passes 4648 (464.8 avg)
2819 (75%) Pass Accuracy 3808 (82%)
42% Ball Possession 55%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Arminia Bielefeld Holstein Kiel
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
25 (2.5 avg) Yellow Cards 31 (3.1 avg)
160 (16.0 avg) Tackles 164 (16.4 avg)
124 (12.4 avg) Fouls 138 (13.8 avg)
18 (2.0 avg) Offsides 8 (0.8 avg)
500 (50.0 avg) Duels Won 512 (51.2 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 167 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Arminia Bielefeld

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Holstein Kiel

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)