Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa win · Most likely 38.6%
Draw 27.1%
Chelsea win 34.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 56%
Aston Villa clean sheet 23%Avg 26%
Chelsea clean sheet 21%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.7%
1-07.1%
2-05.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aston Villa
  • Chelsea

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Mar 26 Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea
27 Dec 25 Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa
22 Feb 25 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea
01 Dec 24 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa
27 Apr 24 Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea
24 Sep 23 Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa
01 Apr 23 Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa
16 Oct 22 Aston Villa 0–2 Chelsea
26 Dec 21 Aston Villa 1–3 Chelsea
11 Sep 21 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa
23 May 21 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea
28 Dec 20 Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa
21 Jun 20 Aston Villa 1–2 Chelsea
04 Dec 19 Chelsea 2–1 Aston Villa
14meetings
  • Aston Villa win · 5 (36%)
  • Draw · 2 (14%)
  • Chelsea win · 7 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.93 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 11.07 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.93 League avg: 3.91
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.42
Chelsea avg. goals 1.79 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea (04 Mar 26).

Aston Villa vs Chelsea head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Aston Villa have won 5 times, Chelsea have won 7 times and 2 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 16 goals and Chelsea scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Mar 2026, was won 4-1 by Chelsea, away at Aston Villa. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 14 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 2 clean sheets and Chelsea kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Chelsea
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 17 (2.4 avg)
83 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 100 (14.3 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Shots on Target 39 (5.6 avg)
26 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (4.3 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Corners 41 (5.9 avg)
616 (88.0 avg) Attacks 653 (93.3 avg)
264 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 76 (10.9 avg)
2858 (408.3 avg) Passes 2985 (426.4 avg)
2371 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2492 (83%)
47% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Chelsea
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.9 avg)
121 (17.3 avg) Tackles 108 (15.4 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 65 (9.3 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
327 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 348 (49.7 avg)
70 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)