Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig

Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Matchweek 6 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bayern Munich win · Most likely 76.1%
Draw 14.0%
RB Leipzig win 9.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 68%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 93%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 80%Avg 62%
Bayern Munich clean sheet 29%Avg 26%
RB Leipzig clean sheet 5%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 81%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 71%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 66%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 44%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

3-18.0%
2-17.7%
2-06.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bayern Munich
  • RB Leipzig

Did you know?

  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig 6-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Bayern Munich have lost to RB Leipzig just once in their last 16 meetings.

H2H

16meetings
  • Bayern Munich win · 8 (50%)
  • Draw · 7 (44%)
  • RB Leipzig win · 1 (6%)
Avg. total goals 3.56 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 31% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.12 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.06 League avg: 3.82
Bayern Munich avg. goals 2.38 League avg: 1.60
RB Leipzig avg. goals 1.19 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig (22 Aug 25).

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Bayern Munich have won 8 times, RB Leipzig have won once and 7 ended in a draw. Bayern Munich scored 38 goals and RB Leipzig scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 5-1 by Bayern Munich, away at RB Leipzig. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich kept 5 clean sheets and RB Leipzig kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
16 (3.2 avg) Goals 15 (3.0 avg)
116 (23.2 avg) Total Shots 95 (19.0 avg)
45 (9.0 avg) Shots on Target 35 (7.0 avg)
35 (7.0 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (4.6 avg)
47 (9.4 avg) Corners 30 (6.0 avg)
765 (153.0 avg) Attacks 578 (115.6 avg)
505 (101.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 256 (51.2 avg)
97 (19.4 avg) Key Passes 71 (14.2 avg)
3569 (713.8 avg) Passes 2643 (528.6 avg)
3207 (90%) Pass Accuracy 2313 (88%)
70% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
4 (0.8 avg) Yellow Cards 6 (1.2 avg)
65 (13.0 avg) Tackles 70 (14.0 avg)
48 (9.6 avg) Fouls 53 (10.6 avg)
12 (2.4 avg) Offsides 3 (0.6 avg)
237 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 235 (47.0 avg)
52 (10.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 49 (9.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bayern Munich

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

RB Leipzig

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)