Bayern Munich
vs
RB Leipzig
Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC · Matchweek 6 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Bayern Munich
- RB Leipzig
Did you know?
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
- RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig 6-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
- Bayern Munich have lost to RB Leipzig just once in their last 16 meetings.
H2H
All 16 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | RB Leipzig |
1–5 | Bayern Munich |
| 22 Aug 25 | Bayern Munich |
6–0 | RB Leipzig |
| 03 May 25 | RB Leipzig |
3–3 | Bayern Munich |
| 20 Dec 24 | Bayern Munich |
5–1 | RB Leipzig |
| 24 Feb 24 | Bayern Munich |
2–1 | RB Leipzig |
| 30 Sep 23 | RB Leipzig |
2–2 | Bayern Munich |
| 20 May 23 | Bayern Munich |
1–3 | RB Leipzig |
| 20 Jan 23 | RB Leipzig |
1–1 | Bayern Munich |
| 05 Feb 22 | Bayern Munich |
3–2 | RB Leipzig |
| 11 Sep 21 | RB Leipzig |
1–4 | Bayern Munich |
| 03 Apr 21 | RB Leipzig |
0–1 | Bayern Munich |
| 05 Dec 20 | Bayern Munich |
3–3 | RB Leipzig |
| 09 Feb 20 | Bayern Munich |
0–0 | RB Leipzig |
| 14 Sep 19 | RB Leipzig |
1–1 | Bayern Munich |
| 11 May 19 | RB Leipzig |
0–0 | Bayern Munich |
| 19 Dec 18 | Bayern Munich |
1–0 | RB Leipzig |
- Bayern Munich win · 8 (50%)
- Draw · 7 (44%)
- RB Leipzig win · 1 (6%)
Biggest win: Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig (22 Aug 25).
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Bayern Munich have won 8 times, RB Leipzig have won once and 7 ended in a draw. Bayern Munich scored 38 goals and RB Leipzig scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 5-1 by Bayern Munich, away at RB Leipzig. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich kept 5 clean sheets and RB Leipzig kept 2.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
Match Outlook
3rd placed Bayern Munich host 5th placed RB Leipzig. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 5 (DWWDW), scoring 16 and conceding 4, and have won 8 of their last 10 at home. RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWLW), scoring 15 and conceding 5, and have won 4 of their last 10 on the road. Bayern Munich will be missing Manuel Neuer (first choice goalkeeper), with 1 more on the absentee list. RB Leipzig have no key players missing. The main goal threats are Michael Olise (4 goals) for Bayern Munich and Christopher Nkunku (4 goals) for RB Leipzig. Bayern Munich go in as clear favourites (Bayern Munich win 76%, draw 14%, RB Leipzig win 10%). The numbers point to an open game with goals at both ends, with 3-1 the most likely score. How Bayern Munich cope without Manuel Neuer could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Bayern Munich
Injured
Manuel Neuer
first choice goalkeeper
Bayern Munich
Previous 10 Matches
WWDWWWDWWD-
10 Oct 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Augsburg
2–2
D
-
18 Sep 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Union Berlin
7–0
W
-
13 Sep 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Elversberg
2–1
W
-
05 Sep 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Schalke 04
0–0
D
-
28 Aug 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Stuttgart
5–1
W
-
16 May 26 H Bayern Munich vs
FC Cologne
5–1
W
-
09 May 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Wolfsburg
1–0
W
-
02 May 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Heidenheim
3–3
D
-
25 Apr 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Mainz
4–3
W
-
19 Apr 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Stuttgart
4–2
W
Previous 10 Matches
LWWWWWDWWW-
18 Sep 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Union Berlin
7–0
W
-
28 Aug 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Stuttgart
5–1
W
-
16 May 26 H Bayern Munich vs
FC Cologne
5–1
W
-
02 May 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Heidenheim
3–3
D
-
19 Apr 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Stuttgart
4–2
W
-
21 Mar 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Union Berlin
4–0
W
-
06 Mar 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Borussia Monchengladbach
4–1
W
-
21 Feb 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2
W
-
08 Feb 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Hoffenheim
5–1
W
-
24 Jan 26 H Bayern Munich vs
Augsburg
1–2
L
Previous 10 Matches
WWDWWWWDWD-
10 Oct 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Augsburg
2–2
D
-
13 Sep 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Elversberg
2–1
W
-
05 Sep 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Schalke 04
0–0
D
-
09 May 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Wolfsburg
1–0
W
-
25 Apr 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Mainz
4–3
W
-
11 Apr 26 A Bayern Munich vs
St Pauli
5–0
W
-
04 Apr 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Freiburg
3–2
W
-
14 Mar 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Bayer Leverkusen
1–1
D
-
28 Feb 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
W
-
14 Feb 26 A Bayern Munich vs
Werder Bremen
3–0
W
Form & stats (Last 10)
3rd in the league · 11 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWDWWWDWWD | 2.40 |
| Home | LWWWWWDWWW | 2.50 |
| Away | WWDWWWWDWD | 2.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 78% | 65% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 4.00 | 4.22 | 3.77 |
| Scored/game | 2.91 | 3.28 | 2.55 |
| Conceded/game | 1.08 | 0.94 | 1.22 |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 41% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| xG/game | 2.74 | 3.02 | 2.46 |
| xG against/game | 1.05 | 0.94 | 1.16 |
| npxG/game | 2.58 | 2.84 | 2.32 |
| Deep completions/game | 13.3 | 14.0 | 12.6 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 9.2 | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| Led at half-time | 60% | 62% | 58% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 20% | 23% | 18% |
RB Leipzig
Previous 10 Matches
WWLWLWLWLW-
10 Oct 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
W
-
20 Sep 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
-
13 Sep 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Hamburg
5–0
W
-
05 Sep 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Werder Bremen
1–3
L
-
29 Aug 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Borussia Monchengladbach
3–0
W
-
16 May 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Freiburg
1–4
L
-
09 May 26 H RB Leipzig vs
St Pauli
2–1
W
-
02 May 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Bayer Leverkusen
1–4
L
-
24 Apr 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Union Berlin
3–1
W
-
18 Apr 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
W
Previous 10 Matches
DDWWWWWWWW-
10 Oct 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
W
-
13 Sep 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Hamburg
5–0
W
-
29 Aug 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Borussia Monchengladbach
3–0
W
-
09 May 26 H RB Leipzig vs
St Pauli
2–1
W
-
24 Apr 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Union Berlin
3–1
W
-
11 Apr 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–0
W
-
20 Mar 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Hoffenheim
5–0
W
-
07 Mar 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Augsburg
2–1
W
-
21 Feb 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
-
15 Feb 26 H RB Leipzig vs
Wolfsburg
2–2
D
Previous 10 Matches
DWWLWWLLLL-
20 Sep 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
-
05 Sep 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Werder Bremen
1–3
L
-
16 May 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Freiburg
1–4
L
-
02 May 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Bayer Leverkusen
1–4
L
-
18 Apr 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
W
-
04 Apr 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Werder Bremen
2–1
W
-
15 Mar 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Stuttgart
0–1
L
-
01 Mar 26 A RB Leipzig vs
Hamburg
2–1
W
-
08 Feb 26 A RB Leipzig vs
FC Cologne
2–1
W
-
27 Jan 26 A RB Leipzig vs
St Pauli
1–1
D
Form & stats (Last 10)
5th in the league · 9 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWLWLWLW | 1.80 |
| Home | DDWWWWWWWW | 2.60 |
| Away | DWWLWWLLLL | 1.30 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 62% | 45% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.13 | 3.18 | 3.07 |
| Scored/game | 1.99 | 2.22 | 1.75 |
| Conceded/game | 1.14 | 0.96 | 1.32 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 55% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 40% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 12% | 20% |
| xG/game | 2.03 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
| xG against/game | 1.29 | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| npxG/game | 1.88 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
| Deep completions/game | 9.1 | 10.0 | 8.1 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.6 | 11.7 | 11.5 |
| Led at half-time | 44% | 51% | 37% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 16% | 26% | 9% |
League standings
Bayern Munich are 3rd with 11 points. RB Leipzig are 5th with 9 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | Augsburg |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Mainz |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Elversberg |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Cologne |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Stuttgart |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Hamburg |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 | Schalke 04 |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim |
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
Out / doubtful
- Jamal Musiala Injured · Torn Muscle Fiber (2 games missed)
- Manuel Neuer Injured · Foot Injury
Out / doubtful
- Assan Ouédraogo Injured · Shoulder Injury (3 games missed)
- Christoph Baumgartner Injured · Hamstring Injury (13 games missed)
- Marc Guiu Injured · Hamstring Injury (3 games missed)
- Leopold Zingerle Unavailable · No Eligibility (6 games missed)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Bayern Munich
- Michael Olise 030 4 5
- Harry Kane 120 3 5
- Ismael Saibari 011 2 3
RB Leipzig
- Christopher Nkunku 103 4 3
- Antonio Nusa 101 3 5
- Ridle Baku 000 2 4
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Bayern Munich
- Michael Olise 153 12 5
- Luis Díaz 111 6 5
- Harry Kane 131 6 5
RB Leipzig
- Christopher Nkunku 203 7 3
- Antonio Nusa 101 6 5
- Ezechiel Banzuzi 012 4 5
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Bayern Munich
- Harry Kane 658 24 5
- Michael Olise 465 22 5
- Ismael Saibari 246 14 3
RB Leipzig
- Christopher Nkunku 406 14 3
- Tidiam Gomis 134 14 2
- Antonio Nusa 222 12 5
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Bayern Munich
- Dayot Upamecano 010 2Y 5
- Min-jae Kim 00– 1Y 3
- Aleksandar Pavlovic 000 1Y 5
RB Leipzig
- Antonio Nusa 010 2Y 5
- Neil El Aynaoui 011 2Y 4
- Benjamin Henrichs 010 1Y 4
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Bayern Munich
- Aleksandar Pavlovic 101 8 5
- Luis Díaz 220 7 5
- Dayot Upamecano 212 6 5
RB Leipzig
- Ezechiel Banzuzi 311 9 5
- David Raum 111 6 5
- Neil El Aynaoui 022 5 4
Most tackles
Tackles made
Bayern Munich
- Dayot Upamecano 203 11 5
- Alphonso Davies 021 7 4
- Joshua Kimmich 013 6 4
RB Leipzig
- Ezechiel Banzuzi 324 13 5
- Willi Orbán 124 7 5
- Antonio Nusa 111 6 5
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Bayern Munich
- Dayot Upamecano 101 7 5
- Aleksandar Pavlovic 222 7 5
- Joshua Kimmich 000 4 4
RB Leipzig
- Neil El Aynaoui 232 7 4
- David Raum 121 6 5
- Willi Orbán 032 5 5
Duels won
Challenges won
Bayern Munich
- Michael Olise 7118 32 5
- Alphonso Davies 466 31 4
- Dayot Upamecano 416 30 5
RB Leipzig
- Antonio Nusa 665 31 5
- Willi Orbán 256 26 5
- Ridle Baku 1106 26 4
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Bayern Munich
- Dayot Upamecano 001 2 5
- Min-jae Kim 00– 2 3
- Josip Stanisic 101 2 3
RB Leipzig
- Willi Orbán 110 5 5
- Ridle Baku 002 5 4
- Castello Lukeba 0–1 3 3
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Bayern Munich
- Michael Olise 525 16 5
- Alphonso Davies 152 13 4
- Aleksandar Pavlovic 304 11 5
RB Leipzig
- David Raum 442 19 5
- Antonio Nusa 324 11 5
- Tidiam Gomis 121 7 2
Referee
TSTobias Stieler
29 matches on file in this leagueLeans 0.3 more cards/game on the away side.
Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Bayern Munich
Over 7.5 Corners in the Match
100.0%
-
2
Bayern Munich
Team Over 4.5 Shots on Target
100.0%
-
3
RB Leipzig
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
100.0%
-
4
RB Leipzig
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
100.0%
-
5
Bayern Munich
To Win or Draw (Double Chance)
100.0%
-
1
MV
Maarten Vandevoordt
Over 1.5 Saves
90.0%
-
2
CB
Christoph Baumgartner
Over 1.5 Shots
90.0%
-
3
MO
Michael Olise
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
90.0%
-
4
EB
Ezechiel Banzuzi
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
-
5
DU
Dayot Upamecano
Over 1.5 Tackles
80.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
4 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
7 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Compare bookmaker prices
The best price for each result, then every bookmaker side by side. Red marks the best price.
-
888sport
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1.22
6.50
9.00
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Bet Victor
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1.17
7.00
9.50
-
Betano (UK)
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1.17
7.00
9.50
-
Betfair
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1.24
8.60
11.00
-
Betfair Sportsbook
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1.20
7.50
11.00
-
Betfred (UK)
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1.20
7.50
11.00
-
Betway
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1.20
8.00
9.00
-
BoyleSports
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1.20
7.00
7.50
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Casumo
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1.20
7.50
10.00
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Coral
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1.25
7.50
8.50
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Grosvenor
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1.21
7.50
10.50
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Ladbrokes
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1.25
7.00
8.50
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LeoVegas
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1.21
7.50
8.50
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LiveScore Bet
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1.18
6.75
9.00
-
Matchbook
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1.24
8.60
11.00
-
Paddy Power
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1.20
7.50
10.00
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Sky Bet
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1.20
7.00
9.50
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Smarkets
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1.24
8.40
10.50
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Unibet (UK)
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1.22
7.50
9.50
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Virgin Bet
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1.19
7.00
9.50
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William Hill
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1.22
6.50
9.00
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