Blackburn vs Derby

Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Blackburn win · Most likely 42.5%
Draw 27.4%
Derby win 30.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 51%
Blackburn clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
Derby clean sheet 23%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 67%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 86%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 71%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.9%
2-19.0%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Blackburn
  • Derby

Did you know?

  • Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings between these two.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 6 meetings.
  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Blackburn's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Feb 26 Derby 3–1 Blackburn
08 Nov 25 Blackburn 1–2 Derby
08 Mar 25 Derby 2–1 Blackburn
09 Aug 24 Blackburn 4–2 Derby
15 Mar 22 Blackburn 3–1 Derby
30 Oct 21 Derby 1–2 Blackburn
6meetings
  • Blackburn win · 3 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Derby win · 3 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.83 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.67 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.82
Blackburn avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Derby avg. goals 1.83 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 3–1 Blackburn (28 Feb 26).

Blackburn vs Derby head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Blackburn have won 3 times, Derby have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Blackburn scored 12 goals and Derby scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, was won 3-1 by Derby, at home against Blackburn. Derby have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 6 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Blackburn
  • Open play side
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 20th of 24 48% 17th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 18th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    19% of xG 22nd of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 18th of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than Blackburn, 36% against 19%.
  • Derby go more through the air than Blackburn, 20% of shots against 16%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Blackburn Derby
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
66 (6.6 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
694 (69.4 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)
367 (36.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)
91 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
4047 (404.7 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)
3183 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
49% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Blackburn Derby
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
490 (49.0 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)
148 (14.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Blackburn

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)