Brighton vs Chelsea

Sat 17 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Brighton win · Most likely 50.1%
Draw 24.8%
Chelsea win 25.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 64%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 56%
Brighton clean sheet 26%Avg 27%
Chelsea clean sheet 15%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
2-07.0%
1-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Brighton
  • Chelsea

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Brighton have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 17 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
30 Aug 26 Chelsea 4–3 Brighton
21 Apr 26 Brighton 3–0 Chelsea
27 Sep 25 Chelsea 1–3 Brighton
14 Feb 25 Brighton 3–0 Chelsea
28 Sep 24 Chelsea 4–2 Brighton
15 May 24 Brighton 1–2 Chelsea
03 Dec 23 Chelsea 3–2 Brighton
15 Apr 23 Chelsea 1–2 Brighton
29 Oct 22 Brighton 4–1 Chelsea
18 Jan 22 Brighton 1–1 Chelsea
29 Dec 21 Chelsea 1–1 Brighton
20 Apr 21 Chelsea 0–0 Brighton
14 Sep 20 Brighton 1–3 Chelsea
01 Jan 20 Brighton 1–1 Chelsea
28 Sep 19 Chelsea 2–0 Brighton
03 Apr 19 Chelsea 3–0 Brighton
16 Dec 18 Brighton 1–2 Chelsea
17meetings
  • Brighton win · 5 (29%)
  • Draw · 4 (24%)
  • Chelsea win · 8 (47%)
Avg. total goals 3.35 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.06 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.12 League avg: 3.91
Brighton avg. goals 1.65 League avg: 1.42
Chelsea avg. goals 1.71 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 3–0 Chelsea (21 Apr 26).

Brighton vs Chelsea head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Brighton have won 5 times, Chelsea have won 8 times and 4 ended in a draw. Brighton scored 28 goals and Chelsea scored 29 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 30 Aug 2026, was won 4-3 by Chelsea, at home against Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 12 of 17 and 12 had over 2.5 goals. Brighton kept 3 clean sheets and Chelsea kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Brighton Chelsea
23 (3.3 avg) Goals 17 (2.4 avg)
125 (17.9 avg) Total Shots 100 (14.3 avg)
42 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 39 (5.6 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (4.3 avg)
40 (5.7 avg) Corners 41 (5.9 avg)
769 (109.9 avg) Attacks 653 (93.3 avg)
374 (53.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
81 (11.6 avg) Key Passes 76 (10.9 avg)
3558 (508.3 avg) Passes 2985 (426.4 avg)
3037 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2492 (83%)
60% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Brighton Chelsea
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.9 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Tackles 108 (15.4 avg)
89 (12.7 avg) Fouls 65 (9.3 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
325 (46.4 avg) Duels Won 348 (49.7 avg)
124 (17.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)