Burgos vs Almeria

Sun 14 Feb, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burgos win · Most likely 37.0%
Draw 29.4%
Almeria win 33.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 46%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 65%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 39%Avg 50%
Burgos clean sheet 33%Avg 32%
Almeria clean sheet 31%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 41%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 29%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 91%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 80%Avg 75%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.4%
2-17.8%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burgos
  • Almeria

Did you know?

  • Almeria are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Almeria have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Almeria have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Almeria have outscored their xG by 0.54 goals per game over their last 9. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
03 Oct 26 Almeria 2–1 Burgos
09 May 26 Burgos 0–0 Almeria
14 Dec 25 Almeria 1–2 Burgos
21 Mar 25 Burgos 3–1 Almeria
05 Oct 24 Almeria 2–0 Burgos
30 Apr 22 Burgos 0–2 Almeria
07 Nov 21 Almeria 2–0 Burgos
7meetings
  • Burgos win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Almeria win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.29 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 43% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 43% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 57% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.39
Avg. total cards 6.57 League avg: 5.42
Burgos avg. goals 0.86 League avg: 1.31
Almeria avg. goals 1.43 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burgos 3–1 Almeria (21 Mar 25).

Burgos vs Almeria head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Burgos have won 2 times, Almeria have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Burgos scored 6 goals and Almeria scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 3 Oct 2026, was won 2-1 by Almeria, at home against Burgos. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 7 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Burgos kept 1 clean sheet and Almeria kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burgos
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
Almeria
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 53% 4th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 17th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 9th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 10th of 18 20% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 8th of 18 15% of shots 14th of 18

Where they differ

  • Almeria see much more of the ball than Burgos, 53% against 46%.
  • Almeria wait for better chances than Burgos, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Burgos go more through the air than Almeria, 20% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burgos Almeria
14 (1.4 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
124 (12.4 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 47 (4.7 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 34 (3.4 avg)
841 (84.1 avg) Attacks 639 (63.9 avg)
412 (41.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 324 (32.4 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
3943 (394.3 avg) Passes 4738 (473.8 avg)
3142 (80%) Pass Accuracy 4040 (85%)
47% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burgos Almeria
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
223 (22.3 avg) Tackles 143 (14.3 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 9 (1.0 avg)
522 (52.2 avg) Duels Won 457 (45.7 avg)
120 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 106 (10.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burgos

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Almeria

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)