Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win · Most likely 48.0%
Draw 25.8%
Aston Villa win 26.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 27%Avg 26%
Aston Villa clean sheet 17%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
1-07.7%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Aston Villa

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Mar 26 Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea
27 Dec 25 Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa
22 Feb 25 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea
01 Dec 24 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa
27 Apr 24 Aston Villa 2–2 Chelsea
24 Sep 23 Chelsea 0–1 Aston Villa
01 Apr 23 Chelsea 0–2 Aston Villa
16 Oct 22 Aston Villa 0–2 Chelsea
26 Dec 21 Aston Villa 1–3 Chelsea
11 Sep 21 Chelsea 3–0 Aston Villa
23 May 21 Aston Villa 2–1 Chelsea
28 Dec 20 Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa
21 Jun 20 Aston Villa 1–2 Chelsea
04 Dec 19 Chelsea 2–1 Aston Villa
14meetings
  • Chelsea win · 7 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (14%)
  • Aston Villa win · 5 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.93 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 11.07 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.93 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 1.79 League avg: 1.42
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.14 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea (04 Mar 26).

Chelsea vs Aston Villa head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Chelsea have won 7 times, Aston Villa have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 25 goals and Aston Villa scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Mar 2026, was won 4-1 by Chelsea, away at Aston Villa. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 14 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 3 clean sheets and Aston Villa kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Aston Villa
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 83 (11.9 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 22 (3.1 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (3.7 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 22 (3.1 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 616 (88.0 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 264 (37.7 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 64 (9.1 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 2858 (408.3 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2371 (83%)
48% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Aston Villa
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.0 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 121 (17.3 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 75 (10.7 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 7 (1.0 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 327 (46.7 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 70 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)