Chelsea vs Liverpool

Sat 05 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 14 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Chelsea win · Most likely 38.4%
Draw 26.3%
Liverpool win 35.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 64%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 56%
Chelsea clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Liverpool clean sheet 20%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 79%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 69%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.5%
1-06.2%
2-05.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Chelsea
  • Liverpool

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
09 May 26 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
04 Oct 25 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
04 May 25 Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool
20 Oct 24 Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea
31 Jan 24 Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea
13 Aug 23 Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool
04 Apr 23 Chelsea 0–0 Liverpool
21 Jan 23 Liverpool 0–0 Chelsea
02 Jan 22 Chelsea 2–2 Liverpool
28 Aug 21 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
04 Mar 21 Liverpool 0–1 Chelsea
20 Sep 20 Chelsea 0–2 Liverpool
22 Jul 20 Liverpool 5–3 Chelsea
22 Sep 19 Chelsea 1–2 Liverpool
14 Apr 19 Liverpool 2–0 Chelsea
29 Sep 18 Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool
16meetings
  • Chelsea win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 7 (44%)
  • Liverpool win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.69 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.31 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.56 League avg: 3.91
Chelsea avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42
Liverpool avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea (31 Jan 24).

Chelsea vs Liverpool head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Chelsea have won 3 times, Liverpool have won 6 times and 7 ended in a draw. Chelsea scored 18 goals and Liverpool scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 9 May 2026, ended 1-1 at Liverpool. Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Chelsea kept 3 clean sheets and Liverpool kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Liverpool
17 (2.4 avg) Goals 9 (1.3 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 110 (15.7 avg)
39 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 35 (5.0 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (5.9 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Corners 35 (5.0 avg)
653 (93.3 avg) Attacks 800 (114.3 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 389 (55.6 avg)
76 (10.9 avg) Key Passes 81 (11.6 avg)
2985 (426.4 avg) Passes 3371 (481.6 avg)
2492 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2854 (85%)
48% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Chelsea Liverpool
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (2.7 avg)
108 (15.4 avg) Tackles 111 (15.9 avg)
65 (9.3 avg) Fouls 97 (13.9 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 16 (2.3 avg)
348 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 342 (48.9 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 100 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Liverpool

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)