Derby vs Blackburn

Fri 01 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win · Most likely 39.5%
Draw 29.3%
Blackburn win 31.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 32%Avg 28%
Blackburn clean sheet 27%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.3%
2-18.4%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • Blackburn

Did you know?

  • Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings between these two.
  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 6 meetings.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Feb 26 Derby 3–1 Blackburn
08 Nov 25 Blackburn 1–2 Derby
08 Mar 25 Derby 2–1 Blackburn
09 Aug 24 Blackburn 4–2 Derby
15 Mar 22 Blackburn 3–1 Derby
30 Oct 21 Derby 1–2 Blackburn
6meetings
  • Derby win · 3 (50%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Blackburn win · 3 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.83 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.67 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.82
Derby avg. goals 1.83 League avg: 1.31
Blackburn avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 3–1 Blackburn (28 Feb 26).

Derby vs Blackburn head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Derby have won 3 times, Blackburn have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Derby scored 11 goals and Blackburn scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, was won 3-1 by Derby, at home against Blackburn. Derby have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 6 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Blackburn
  • Open play side
  • Cedes possession
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 15th of 24 46% 20th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.10 xG a shot 17th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 18% of xG 22nd of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 15% of shots 18th of 24

Where they differ

  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than Blackburn, 36% against 18%.
  • Derby go more through the air than Blackburn, 20% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby Blackburn
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 116 (11.6 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 59 (5.9 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks 698 (69.8 avg)
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 88 (8.8 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 3851 (385.1 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
48% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby Blackburn
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 187 (18.7 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 500 (50.0 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 147 (14.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Blackburn

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)