Derby vs Charlton

Sat 06 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win · Most likely 40.3%
Draw 29.5%
Charlton win 30.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 68%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 34%Avg 28%
Charlton clean sheet 28%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.7%
2-18.5%
2-07.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • Charlton

Did you know?

  • Charlton have won just 0 of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Charlton have gone 10 matches without a win.
  • Charlton have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Charlton 2–1 Derby
20 Jan 26 Charlton 1–2 Derby
30 Sep 25 Derby 1–1 Charlton
3meetings
  • Derby win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Charlton win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 6.67 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 2.67 League avg: 3.82
Derby avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.30
Charlton avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Charlton 2–1 Derby (15 Aug 26).

Derby vs Charlton head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Derby have won once, Charlton have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Derby scored 4 goals and Charlton scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by Charlton, at home against Derby. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Charlton
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 17th of 24 41% 23rd of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24 0.09 xG a shot 20th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 43% of xG 1st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 24% of shots 3rd of 24

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby Charlton
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 5 (0.5 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 102 (10.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 26 (2.6 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 33 (3.3 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 42 (4.2 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks 732 (81.3 avg)
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 345 (38.3 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 77 (7.7 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 3467 (346.7 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 2539 (73%)
48% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby Charlton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 164 (16.4 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 129 (12.9 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 22 (2.4 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 559 (55.9 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 243 (24.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Charlton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)