Derby vs Southampton

Sat 06 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Derby win 25.1%
Draw 25.9%
Southampton win · Most likely 49.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 51%
Derby clean sheet 19%Avg 28%
Southampton clean sheet 32%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.9%
1-29.6%
0-28.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Derby
  • Southampton

Did you know?

  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Derby's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
11 Apr 26 Southampton 2–1 Derby
04 Oct 25 Derby 1–1 Southampton
2meetings
  • Derby win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Southampton win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 3.82
Derby avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Southampton avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Southampton 2–1 Derby (11 Apr 26).

Derby vs Southampton head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Derby have not won, Southampton have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Derby scored 2 goals and Southampton scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 11 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Southampton, at home against Derby. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
Southampton
  • Open play side
  • Keeps the ball
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 15th of 24 57% 5th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    36% of xG 5th of 24 19% of xG 21st of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 9th of 24 17% of shots 14th of 24

Where they differ

  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than Southampton, 36% against 19%.
  • Southampton wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Southampton see much more of the ball than Derby, 57% against 48%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Derby Southampton
9 (0.9 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Total Shots 149 (14.9 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
720 (80.0 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
408 (45.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 376 (41.8 avg)
90 (9.0 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
3844 (384.4 avg) Passes 5258 (525.8 avg)
3007 (78%) Pass Accuracy 4555 (87%)
48% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Derby Southampton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Tackles 109 (10.9 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 81 (8.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Offsides 28 (3.1 avg)
503 (50.3 avg) Duels Won 386 (38.6 avg)
180 (18.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 104 (10.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Southampton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)