Dundee United vs Kilmarnock

Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Dundee United win · Most likely 49.6%
Draw 23.6%
Kilmarnock win 26.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 56%
Dundee United clean sheet 29%Avg 32%
Kilmarnock clean sheet 17%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
1-09.4%
2-07.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Dundee United
  • Kilmarnock

Did you know?

  • Dundee United's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Kilmarnock have underscored their xG by 0.57 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Dundee United's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Kilmarnock have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Aug 26 Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United
02 May 26 Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United
21 Feb 26 Dundee United 1–1 Kilmarnock
29 Nov 25 Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee United
27 Sep 25 Dundee United 0–2 Kilmarnock
01 Feb 25 Kilmarnock 1–0 Dundee United
07 Dec 24 Dundee United 1–1 Kilmarnock
28 Sep 24 Kilmarnock 3–3 Dundee United
24 May 23 Dundee United 0–3 Kilmarnock
01 Feb 23 Kilmarnock 1–0 Dundee United
09 Nov 22 Dundee United 4–0 Kilmarnock
30 Jul 22 Kilmarnock 1–1 Dundee United
12meetings
  • Dundee United win · 2 (17%)
  • Draw · 5 (42%)
  • Kilmarnock win · 5 (42%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 42% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 42% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.08 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 3.58 League avg: 4.00
Dundee United avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.43
Kilmarnock avg. goals 1.42 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United (29 Aug 26).

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Dundee United have won 2 times, Kilmarnock have won 5 times and 5 ended in a draw. Dundee United scored 15 goals and Kilmarnock scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, was won 4-0 by Dundee United, away at Kilmarnock. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 12 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Dundee United kept 2 clean sheets and Kilmarnock kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Dundee United
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Kilmarnock
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 6th of 12 47% 8th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 10th of 12 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    35% of xG 2nd of 12 25% of xG 9th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 2nd of 12 18% of shots 6th of 12

Where they differ

  • Dundee United get more of their chances from set pieces than Kilmarnock, 35% against 25%.
  • Kilmarnock wait for better chances than Dundee United, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Dundee United go more through the air than Kilmarnock, 21% of shots against 18%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Dundee United Kilmarnock
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
156 (15.6 avg) Total Shots 128 (12.8 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
60 (6.0 avg) Corners 56 (5.6 avg)
841 (84.1 avg) Attacks 842 (84.2 avg)
511 (51.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (47.3 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
4209 (420.9 avg) Passes 4010 (401.0 avg)
3350 (80%) Pass Accuracy 3118 (78%)
49% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Dundee United Kilmarnock
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Fouls 118 (11.8 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Offsides 11 (1.4 avg)
474 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 447 (44.7 avg)
169 (16.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Dundee United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Kilmarnock

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)